One More Hedgerow
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (29 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 24
Defender wins (German): 34
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1139 | 1000 | 69% | 2026-01-11 | | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2024-09-05 | | Won |
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2024-02-17 | D | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2024-01-13 | | Lost |
| 878 | 1000 | 33% | 2021-12-26 | | Won |
| 1143 | 1000 | 69% | 2021-11-03 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 1000 | 52% | 2020-11-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2020-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2020-08-06 | | Won |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2019-09-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2018-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-03-24 | | Lost |
| 886 | 1000 | 34% | 2017-11-22 | | Lost |
| 886 | 1000 | 34% | 2017-07-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2015-09-08 | | Lost |
| 1006 | 1233 | 21% | 2014-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1006 | 79% | 2014-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2014-08-07 | | Won |
| 1070 | 1000 | 60% | 2014-05-10 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-01-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1002 | 50% | 2013-04-14 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-12-05 | | Won |
| 917 | 966 | 43% | 2012-01-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2011-09-20 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2010-12-22 | | Won |
| 913 | 1215 | 15% | 2010-02-13 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2010-01-16 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1016.7 vs 1028.4 has a 48.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).