The Shan Capital
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (5 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Thai): 14
Defender wins (Chinese): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 935 | 57% | 2025-01-07 | Lost |
| 1123 | 986 | 69% | 2023-11-27 | Lost |
| 928 | 1015 | 38% | 2020-01-23 | Won |
| 1044 | 1127 | 38% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 977 | 870 | 65% | 2012-10-12 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1011.6 vs 986.6 has a 53.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).