The Shan Capital
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (5 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Thai): 14
Defender wins (Chinese): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 993 | 948 | 56% | 2025-01-07 | Lost |
| 1157 | 998 | 71% | 2023-11-27 | Lost |
| 913 | 1010 | 36% | 2020-01-23 | Won |
| 1158 | 1017 | 69% | 2017-03-30 | Won |
| 978 | 870 | 65% | 2012-10-12 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1039.8 vs 968.6 has a 60.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).