The Weigh In
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (10 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Polish): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 1203 | 35% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1034 | 46% | 2023-01-10 | Won |
| 893 | 1183 | 16% | 2021-12-16 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1274 | 17% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 914 | 1063 | 30% | 2018-02-28 | Lost |
| 1107 | 919 | 75% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 1078 | 978 | 64% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1007 | 57% | 2013-06-06 | Won |
| 950 | 986 | 45% | 2012-07-08 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1089 | 66% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1030.5 vs 1073.6 has a 43.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).