The Weigh In
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (10 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Polish): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1073 | 1076 | 50% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1034 | 46% | 2023-01-10 | Won |
| 992 | 1079 | 38% | 2021-12-16 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1213 | 30% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 925 | 1046 | 33% | 2018-02-28 | Lost |
| 1102 | 924 | 74% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 1146 | 982 | 72% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1006 | 58% | 2013-06-06 | Won |
| 961 | 973 | 48% | 2012-07-08 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1080 | 67% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1053.6 vs 1041.3 has a 51.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).