The Weigh In
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (10 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Polish): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1241 | 29% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2023-01-10 | Won |
| 869 | 1199 | 13% | 2021-12-16 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1266 | 19% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 965 | 1080 | 34% | 2018-02-28 | Lost |
| 1087 | 876 | 77% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1003 | 58% | 2013-06-06 | Won |
| 948 | 987 | 44% | 2012-07-08 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1012.5 vs 1066.4 has a 42.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).