The Weigh In
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (8 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (Polish): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1095 | 1135 | 44% | 2023-06-05 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1011 | 53% | 2023-01-10 | Won |
| 880 | 1118 | 20% | 2021-12-16 | Lost |
| 996 | 1197 | 24% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 967 | 1069 | 36% | 2018-02-28 | Lost |
| 1088 | 954 | 68% | 2016-10-06 | Lost |
| 1022 | 976 | 57% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1005 | 57% | 2013-06-06 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1016.9 vs 1058.1 has a 44.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).