The Triangle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37 (10 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 18
Defender wins (Japanese): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1013 | 52% | 2025-10-23 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1003 | 54% | 2025-10-07 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1045 | 70% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 1153 | 1045 | 65% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 949 | 805 | 70% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 1050 | 974 | 61% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 805 | 1109 | 15% | 2018-04-16 | Won |
| 960 | 1012 | 43% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1106 | 40% | 2017-05-31 | Lost |
| 805 | 1102 | 15% | 2010-09-12 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1000.9 vs 1021.4 has a 47.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).