The Triangle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (12 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (Japanese): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 1042 | 40% | 2026-05-22 | | Lost |
| 971 | 1052 | 39% | 2025-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1043 | 994 | 57% | 2025-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1070 | 984 | 62% | 2022-01-23 | | Won |
| 1040 | 984 | 58% | 2022-01-23 | | Won |
| 909 | 1000 | 37% | 2021-11-13 | | Won |
| 1041 | 1057 | 48% | 2019-04-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2018-04-16 | | Won |
| 977 | 1061 | 38% | 2018-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 1183 | 28% | 2017-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1041 | 1185 | 30% | 2012-07-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2010-09-12 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1007.1 vs 1056.3 has a 42.97% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).