The Triangle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 40 (12 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (Japanese): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 906 | 1031 | 33% | 2026-05-22 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1010 | 53% | 2025-10-23 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1020 | 50% | 2025-10-07 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1029 | 64% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 1079 | 1029 | 57% | 2022-01-23 | Won |
| 948 | 1021 | 40% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 1070 | 1014 | 58% | 2019-04-13 | Won |
| 1021 | 1138 | 34% | 2018-04-16 | Won |
| 1030 | 999 | 54% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2017-05-31 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1263 | 22% | 2012-07-19 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1042 | 47% | 2010-09-12 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1029.1 vs 1059.7 has a 45.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).