Cellar Dwellers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (9 on the archive and 26 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1059 | 1059 | 50% | 2026-01-06 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1223 | 30% | 2022-05-07 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1173 | 50% | 2018-05-09 | Won |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2016-06-20 | Lost |
| 1009 | 993 | 52% | 2013-06-29 | Lost |
| 1015 | 898 | 66% | 2012-04-16 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1037 | 73% | 2011-02-15 | Won |
| 1144 | 1080 | 59% | 2010-08-01 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1100 | 36% | 2010-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1085.8 vs 1072.4 has a 51.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).