Satisfaction and Confidence
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1075 | 1075 | 50% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1118 | 1192 | 40% | 2021-02-16 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2021-02-09 | Lost |
| 965 | 1048 | 38% | 2020-12-15 | Lost |
| 942 | 1131 | 25% | 2020-11-09 | Lost |
| 937 | 1040 | 36% | 2019-07-14 | Lost |
| 1021 | 989 | 55% | 2018-07-05 | Won |
| 1021 | 989 | 55% | 2018-07-01 | Lost |
| 938 | 937 | 50% | 2018-02-28 | Lost |
| 938 | 937 | 50% | 2018-02-27 | Won |
| 1094 | 1157 | 41% | 2013-07-14 | Tied |
| 884 | 1215 | 13% | 2011-11-02 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 993.5 vs 1058.3 has a 40.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).