Satisfaction and Confidence
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (15 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1290 | 16% | 2025-11-06 | A | Lost |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-05-01 | A | Lost |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2024-10-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2021-02-16 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-02-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2020-12-15 | | Lost |
| 942 | 1102 | 28% | 2020-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2019-07-14 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2018-07-05 | | Won |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2018-07-01 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-02-28 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-02-27 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2013-07-14 | | Tied |
| 885 | 1215 | 13% | 2011-11-02 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2010-08-21 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1015.7 vs 1067.6 has a 42.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).