The Last Full Measure
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (10 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 12
Defender wins (Japanese): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1126 | 1007 | 66% | 2025-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1063 | 1098 | 45% | 2022-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1182 | 1024 | 71% | 2021-10-07 | | Won |
| 997 | 1159 | 28% | 2021-07-23 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1126 | 30% | 2018-02-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2017-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2012-06-21 | | Won |
| 940 | 1015 | 39% | 2011-03-13 | | Won |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2011-01-31 | | Lost |
| 1214 | 1031 | 74% | 2010-12-28 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1032.2 vs 1081.9 has a 42.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).