Messervy's Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (British): 9
Defender wins (Italian): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 986 | 1400 | 8% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1311 | 1094 | 78% | 2022-11-23 | Won |
| 979 | 1011 | 45% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
| 1099 | 1072 | 54% | 2022-07-09 | Lost |
| 978 | 978 | 50% | 2022-02-12 | Won |
| 909 | 920 | 48% | 2021-11-01 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1069 | 42% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 862 | 1109 | 19% | 2019-11-03 | Lost |
| 1071 | 946 | 67% | 2017-08-20 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1095 | 45% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 1110 | 944 | 72% | 2017-07-29 | Won |
| 1007 | 1077 | 40% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
| 1038 | 1043 | 49% | 2015-05-23 | Won |
| 958 | 1058 | 36% | 2013-08-18 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-06-30 | Lost |
| 920 | 1022 | 36% | 2012-06-17 | Won |
| 944 | 1009 | 41% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1078 | 47% | 2011-08-08 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1047 | 57% | 2011-05-14 | Lost |
| 896 | 938 | 44% | 2011-03-24 | Lost |
| 749 | 944 | 25% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
| 953 | 1087 | 32% | 2011-02-05 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1003.6 vs 1046.8 has a 43.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).