Messervy's Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (British): 10
Defender wins (Italian): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1029 | 1413 | 10% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1096 | 79% | 2022-11-23 | Won |
| 975 | 995 | 47% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
| 1167 | 1025 | 69% | 2022-07-09 | Lost |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-02-12 | Won |
| 909 | 886 | 53% | 2021-11-01 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1102 | 37% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2020-06-14 | Won |
| 861 | 1181 | 14% | 2019-11-03 | Lost |
| 995 | 1048 | 42% | 2017-08-20 | Lost |
| 1111 | 968 | 69% | 2017-07-29 | Won |
| 985 | 1095 | 35% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1098 | 37% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
| 1037 | 1048 | 48% | 2015-05-23 | Won |
| 956 | 1036 | 39% | 2013-08-18 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2013-06-30 | Lost |
| 919 | 1060 | 31% | 2012-06-17 | Won |
| 998 | 995 | 50% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1077 | 45% | 2011-08-08 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1064 | 55% | 2011-05-14 | Lost |
| 894 | 936 | 44% | 2011-03-24 | Lost |
| 748 | 998 | 19% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
| 954 | 1052 | 36% | 2011-02-05 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1004.5 vs 1055.7 has a 42.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).