Opium Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (Japanese): 4
Defender wins (Malayan/British): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1238 | 1000 | 80% | 2023-07-27 | Won |
| 1111 | 1136 | 46% | 2022-09-11 | Lost |
| 905 | 905 | 50% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 890 | 937 | 43% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 992 | 992 | 50% | 2020-02-22 | Lost |
| 942 | 1045 | 36% | 2017-10-06 | Won |
| 1041 | 1074 | 45% | 2015-08-29 | Lost |
| 1080 | 976 | 65% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1001 | 1023 | 47% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
| 870 | 933 | 41% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
| 944 | 870 | 60% | 2012-05-13 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1045 | 59% | 2012-04-13 | Lost |
| 1011 | 844 | 72% | 2011-11-14 | Won |
| 1080 | 1121 | 44% | 2011-11-06 | Lost |
| 911 | 1085 | 27% | 2011-09-04 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1039 | 54% | 2011-05-21 | Lost |
| 938 | 896 | 56% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1007.8 vs 995.4 has a 51.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).