Opium Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (Japanese): 4
Defender wins (Malayan/British): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1307 | 1283 | 53% | 2023-07-27 | Won |
| 1062 | 1080 | 47% | 2022-09-11 | Lost |
| 954 | 860 | 63% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 918 | 1070 | 29% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 957 | 957 | 50% | 2020-02-22 | Lost |
| 1024 | 965 | 58% | 2018-08-02 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1024 | 50% | 2017-10-06 | Won |
| 988 | 1080 | 37% | 2015-08-29 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
| 1050 | 984 | 59% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 870 | 933 | 41% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
| 944 | 870 | 60% | 2012-05-13 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1024 | 62% | 2012-04-13 | Lost |
| 988 | 924 | 59% | 2011-11-14 | Won |
| 999 | 1093 | 37% | 2011-11-06 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1127 | 34% | 2011-09-04 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1039 | 46% | 2011-05-21 | Lost |
| 938 | 896 | 56% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1008.4 vs 1014.8 has a 49.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).