Opium Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Japanese): 4
Defender wins (Malayan/British): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1306 | 1288 | 53% | 2023-07-27 | Won |
| 1005 | 1110 | 35% | 2022-09-11 | Lost |
| 948 | 964 | 48% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 906 | 1066 | 28% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2020-02-22 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1263 | 33% | 2018-10-20 | Lost |
| 1080 | 925 | 71% | 2018-08-02 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1018 | 66% | 2017-10-06 | Won |
| 1143 | 1141 | 50% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 998 | 1088 | 37% | 2015-08-29 | Lost |
| 974 | 969 | 51% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 1060 | 43% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
| 870 | 933 | 41% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
| 943 | 870 | 60% | 2012-05-13 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1018 | 64% | 2012-04-13 | Lost |
| 993 | 843 | 70% | 2011-11-14 | Won |
| 999 | 1108 | 35% | 2011-11-06 | Lost |
| 964 | 1121 | 29% | 2011-09-04 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1036 | 47% | 2011-05-21 | Lost |
| 936 | 894 | 56% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1021.6 vs 1033.1 has a 48.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).