Point To Make
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (16 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 26
Defender wins (German): 33
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 933 | 75% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 1115 | 944 | 73% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 897 | 1030 | 32% | 2017-04-08 | Lost |
| 1022 | 977 | 56% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1109 | 1049 | 59% | 2015-05-07 | Won |
| 1272 | 1030 | 80% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1045 | 60% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 933 | 931 | 50% | 2013-04-01 | Won |
| 941 | 944 | 50% | 2012-04-15 | Lost |
| 1056 | 957 | 64% | 2012-03-09 | Won |
| 987 | 1018 | 46% | 2012-03-08 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1205 | 25% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 1011 | 1205 | 25% | 2012-03-07 | Won |
| 1101 | 1056 | 56% | 2011-08-12 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1138 | 37% | 2011-08-06 | Lost |
| 944 | 898 | 57% | 2011-06-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1042.9 vs 1022.5 has a 52.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).