Point To Make
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (17 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 27
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1181 | 946 | 79% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 1203 | 1080 | 67% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1099 | 965 | 68% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 898 | 1030 | 32% | 2017-04-08 | Lost |
| 1146 | 982 | 72% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1099 | 1057 | 56% | 2015-05-07 | Won |
| 1259 | 1035 | 78% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1056 | 57% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 875 | 907 | 45% | 2013-04-01 | Won |
| 940 | 965 | 46% | 2012-04-15 | Lost |
| 1167 | 957 | 77% | 2012-03-09 | Won |
| 988 | 1019 | 46% | 2012-03-08 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1085 | 42% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 1027 | 1085 | 42% | 2012-03-07 | Won |
| 939 | 1167 | 21% | 2011-08-12 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1100 | 44% | 2011-08-06 | Lost |
| 965 | 1102 | 31% | 2011-06-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1057.4 vs 1031.6 has a 53.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).