Head in the Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 10
Defender wins (American): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1085 | 987 | 64% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2021-09-04 | Lost |
| 1080 | 913 | 72% | 2021-08-07 | Won |
| 1150 | 993 | 71% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 987 | 1132 | 30% | 2016-08-20 | Lost |
| 1237 | 1048 | 75% | 2016-06-23 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1263 | 980 | 84% | 2015-01-18 | Won |
| 1263 | 1187 | 61% | 2014-06-10 | Won |
| 1121 | 1121 | 50% | 2014-02-13 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1071 | 62% | 2013-08-24 | Won |
| 1048 | 906 | 69% | 2013-03-29 | Lost |
| 969 | 1101 | 32% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 969 | 1101 | 32% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 1008 | 1140 | 32% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 1150 | 975 | 73% | 2012-09-16 | Lost |
| 1241 | 1056 | 74% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 1251 | 1170 | 61% | 2011-11-30 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1129 | 50% | 2011-07-24 | Won |
| 1150 | 1026 | 67% | 2011-04-21 | Lost |
| 996 | 1342 | 12% | 2011-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1109.2 vs 1061.9 has a 56.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).