Head in the Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (15 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 28
Defender wins (American): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1062 | 1127 | 41% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
954 | 954 | 50% | 2021-09-04 | Lost |
1055 | 915 | 69% | 2021-08-07 | Won |
1006 | 993 | 52% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
1327 | 1064 | 82% | 2016-06-23 | Lost |
1116 | 1095 | 53% | 2014-02-13 | Lost |
1143 | 1068 | 61% | 2013-08-24 | Won |
1039 | 1115 | 39% | 2013-03-29 | Lost |
1087 | 1097 | 49% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
1087 | 1097 | 49% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
1006 | 973 | 55% | 2012-09-16 | Lost |
925 | 904 | 53% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
1307 | 1169 | 69% | 2011-11-30 | Lost |
1153 | 989 | 72% | 2011-07-24 | Won |
1006 | 1026 | 47% | 2011-04-21 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1084.9 vs 1039.1 has a 56.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).