Head in the Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 10
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 991 | 64% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
| 949 | 949 | 50% | 2021-09-04 | Lost |
| 1079 | 913 | 72% | 2021-08-07 | Won |
| 991 | 993 | 50% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 987 | 1084 | 36% | 2016-08-20 | Lost |
| 1167 | 1049 | 66% | 2016-06-23 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1023 | 64% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1283 | 979 | 85% | 2015-01-18 | Won |
| 1283 | 1166 | 66% | 2014-06-10 | Won |
| 1120 | 1101 | 53% | 2014-02-13 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1071 | 62% | 2013-08-24 | Won |
| 1048 | 919 | 68% | 2013-03-29 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1101 | 42% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 1045 | 1101 | 42% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 1008 | 1140 | 32% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 991 | 975 | 52% | 2012-09-16 | Lost |
| 1235 | 1068 | 72% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 1252 | 1168 | 62% | 2011-11-30 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1098 | 54% | 2011-07-24 | Won |
| 991 | 1026 | 45% | 2011-04-21 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1099.7 vs 1046.2 has a 57.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).