Across the Border
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (17 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Slovakian): 31
Defender wins (Polish): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1000 | 55% | 2024-05-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2024-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2024-01-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1431 | 8% | 2020-06-27 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2019-11-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1132 | 32% | 2019-03-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 950 | 57% | 2018-09-16 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-04-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1002 | 50% | 2018-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1022 | 47% | 2018-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1139 | 1009 | 68% | 2016-04-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2016-04-21 | | Won |
| 980 | 1040 | 41% | 2016-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2011-12-03 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2011-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 1014 | 69% | 2011-01-14 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1022.6 vs 1037.6 has a 47.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).