Fish in a Barrel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 892 | 1204 | 14% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 1073 | 897 | 73% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 970 | 1044 | 40% | 2024-06-21 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1218 | 23% | 2018-06-25 | Lost |
| 890 | 1080 | 25% | 2012-03-24 | Won |
| 1175 | 1018 | 71% | 2012-03-22 | Won |
| 1150 | 977 | 73% | 2012-02-20 | Lost |
| 1110 | 910 | 76% | 2012-01-22 | Won |
| 1003 | 1170 | 28% | 2011-11-28 | Lost |
| 1125 | 949 | 73% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
| 1285 | 1058 | 79% | 2011-10-02 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1061.8 vs 1047.7 has a 52.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).