Preliminary Move
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1017 | 754 | 82% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
| 1173 | 1040 | 68% | 2020-10-27 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1078 | 59% | 2020-01-11 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
| 1096 | 1333 | 20% | 2018-07-04 | Lost |
| 1256 | 996 | 82% | 2018-04-04 | Won |
| 963 | 1082 | 34% | 2018-04-02 | Lost |
| 1153 | 971 | 74% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 1035 | 1105 | 40% | 2016-08-30 | Won |
| 1115 | 1144 | 46% | 2014-01-21 | Won |
| 1050 | 922 | 68% | 2013-04-22 | Won |
| 1067 | 923 | 70% | 2013-03-02 | Won |
| 1019 | 1020 | 50% | 2012-02-14 | Won |
| 1165 | 1014 | 70% | 2011-11-12 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1095.4 vs 1033.6 has a 58.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).