Preliminary Move
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 800 | 850 | 43% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
| 1173 | 1037 | 69% | 2020-10-27 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1100 | 42% | 2020-01-11 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
| 1095 | 1296 | 24% | 2018-07-04 | Lost |
| 1197 | 996 | 76% | 2018-04-04 | Won |
| 963 | 1071 | 35% | 2018-04-02 | Lost |
| 1153 | 967 | 74% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2016-08-30 | Won |
| 1062 | 1012 | 57% | 2014-01-21 | Won |
| 1030 | 954 | 61% | 2013-04-22 | Won |
| 1067 | 919 | 70% | 2013-03-02 | Won |
| 1017 | 1018 | 50% | 2012-02-14 | Won |
| 1206 | 982 | 78% | 2011-11-12 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1066.2 vs 1027.9 has a 55.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).