Preliminary Move
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 818 | 789 | 54% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
| 1173 | 1037 | 69% | 2020-10-27 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1067 | 52% | 2020-01-11 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
| 1096 | 1316 | 22% | 2018-07-04 | Lost |
| 1209 | 986 | 78% | 2018-04-04 | Won |
| 963 | 1084 | 33% | 2018-04-02 | Lost |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 1029 | 1100 | 40% | 2016-08-30 | Won |
| 1086 | 1032 | 58% | 2014-01-21 | Won |
| 1121 | 893 | 79% | 2013-04-22 | Won |
| 1066 | 921 | 70% | 2013-03-02 | Won |
| 1017 | 1018 | 50% | 2012-02-14 | Won |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2011-11-12 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1075.1 vs 1021.3 has a 57.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).