Preliminary Move
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1052 | 755 | 85% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
| 1172 | 1047 | 67% | 2020-10-27 | Lost |
| 967 | 1110 | 31% | 2020-01-11 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
| 1174 | 1234 | 41% | 2018-07-04 | Lost |
| 1220 | 952 | 82% | 2018-04-04 | Won |
| 963 | 1029 | 41% | 2018-04-02 | Lost |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 1035 | 1116 | 39% | 2016-08-30 | Won |
| 1052 | 1099 | 43% | 2014-01-21 | Won |
| 1040 | 941 | 64% | 2013-04-22 | Won |
| 1071 | 924 | 70% | 2013-03-02 | Won |
| 1018 | 1019 | 50% | 2012-02-14 | Won |
| 1172 | 1062 | 65% | 2011-11-12 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1081.9 vs 1024.7 has a 58.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).