Preliminary Move
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 738 | 738 | 50% | 2025-01-02 | Won |
| 1174 | 1039 | 69% | 2020-10-27 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1128 | 41% | 2020-01-11 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2019-05-12 | Won |
| 1096 | 1329 | 21% | 2018-07-04 | Lost |
| 1268 | 964 | 85% | 2018-04-04 | Won |
| 963 | 1082 | 34% | 2018-04-02 | Lost |
| 1127 | 970 | 71% | 2017-04-01 | Won |
| 1034 | 1104 | 40% | 2016-08-30 | Won |
| 1098 | 764 | 87% | 2014-01-21 | Won |
| 1118 | 877 | 80% | 2013-04-22 | Won |
| 1067 | 922 | 70% | 2013-03-02 | Won |
| 1019 | 1020 | 50% | 2012-02-14 | Won |
| 1158 | 994 | 72% | 2011-11-12 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1072.2 vs 1001.3 has a 60.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).