Hotly Contested Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (10 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 981 | 1092 | 35% | 2026-03-16 | | Lost |
| 924 | 870 | 58% | 2023-04-08 | | Lost |
| 895 | 1059 | 28% | 2022-04-15 | | Lost |
| 895 | 1000 | 35% | 2021-10-22 | | Won |
| 1092 | 1102 | 49% | 2019-11-10 | | Won |
| 1125 | 1000 | 67% | 2019-08-13 | | Lost |
| 1094 | 1000 | 63% | 2018-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1067 | 40% | 2017-09-12 | | Lost |
| 962 | 1054 | 37% | 2016-03-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 2014-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 996.8 vs 1036.9 has a 44.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).