Hotly Contested Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1081 | 921 | 72% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 937 | 1010 | 40% | 2022-04-15 | Lost |
| 937 | 933 | 51% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
| 1168 | 1091 | 61% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 1223 | 906 | 86% | 2019-08-13 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1099 | 43% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 1169 | 967 | 76% | 2017-09-12 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1059 | 72% | 2016-03-04 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2014-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1106 vs 1023.2 has a 61.69% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).