Hotly Contested Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (German): 2
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1121 | 893 | 79% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 937 | 1010 | 40% | 2022-04-15 | Lost |
| 937 | 952 | 48% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
| 1219 | 1091 | 68% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 1223 | 927 | 85% | 2019-08-13 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1064 | 53% | 2018-03-02 | Lost |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2017-09-12 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1058 | 72% | 2016-03-04 | Lost |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2014-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1118.9 vs 1020.6 has a 63.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).