Ivanovskii
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 1013 | 52% | 2025-03-24 | Won |
| 1077 | 999 | 61% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1112 | 35% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 952 | 1032 | 39% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 918 | 1086 | 28% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 1016 | 904 | 66% | 2023-04-22 | Won |
| 1109 | 1030 | 61% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1049 | 68% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1274 | 1015 | 82% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 974 | 950 | 53% | 2021-01-10 | Won |
| 902 | 941 | 44% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1165 | 970 | 75% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 984 | 952 | 55% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1039 | 46% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1081 | 1235 | 29% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 1068 | 1054 | 52% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 1274 | 1168 | 65% | 2012-05-04 | Won |
| 1101 | 978 | 67% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 903 | 870 | 55% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1135 | 69% | 2011-12-27 | Won |
| 1044 | 1001 | 56% | 2011-12-02 | Lost |
| 994 | 903 | 63% | 2011-12-02 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1060.5 vs 1019.8 has a 55.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).