Ivanovskii
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 995 | 56% | 2025-03-24 | Won |
| 1010 | 995 | 52% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1102 | 42% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 951 | 1033 | 38% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 877 | 1118 | 20% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 1011 | 900 | 65% | 2023-04-22 | Won |
| 1064 | 1030 | 55% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1051 | 63% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1329 | 1015 | 86% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 974 | 909 | 59% | 2021-01-10 | Won |
| 903 | 870 | 55% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1128 | 970 | 71% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 984 | 952 | 55% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1040 | 46% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1044 | 1233 | 25% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 1050 | 1054 | 49% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 1329 | 1169 | 72% | 2012-05-04 | Won |
| 1100 | 978 | 67% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 998 | 870 | 68% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1329 | 1096 | 79% | 2011-12-27 | Won |
| 1052 | 1001 | 57% | 2011-12-02 | Lost |
| 994 | 998 | 49% | 2011-12-02 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1062.4 vs 1017.2 has a 56.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).