Ivanovskii
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 14
Defender wins (Russian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 960 | 1028 | 40% | 2025-03-24 | Won |
| 1166 | 1003 | 72% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
| 982 | 1128 | 30% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 952 | 982 | 46% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 941 | 1022 | 39% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 1015 | 890 | 67% | 2023-04-22 | Won |
| 967 | 1030 | 41% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1048 | 72% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1234 | 1031 | 76% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 974 | 988 | 48% | 2021-01-10 | Won |
| 903 | 940 | 45% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 985 | 952 | 55% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1100 | 40% | 2015-08-02 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1039 | 46% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1080 | 1234 | 29% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 1060 | 1051 | 51% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 1234 | 1170 | 59% | 2012-05-04 | Won |
| 1101 | 978 | 67% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 884 | 870 | 52% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1174 | 59% | 2011-12-27 | Won |
| 974 | 1001 | 46% | 2011-12-02 | Lost |
| 994 | 884 | 65% | 2011-12-02 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1043.9 vs 1022.3 has a 53.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).