Ivanovskii
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1024 | 1043 | 47% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
906 | 1107 | 24% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
951 | 1093 | 31% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
921 | 1081 | 28% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
1010 | 937 | 60% | 2023-04-22 | Won |
1074 | 1029 | 56% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
1191 | 1050 | 69% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
1303 | 1014 | 84% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
974 | 928 | 57% | 2021-01-10 | Won |
902 | 883 | 53% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
1169 | 967 | 76% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
971 | 952 | 53% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
1012 | 1057 | 44% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
1029 | 1225 | 24% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
1303 | 1169 | 68% | 2012-05-04 | Won |
951 | 870 | 61% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
1098 | 979 | 66% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
1303 | 1096 | 77% | 2011-12-27 | Won |
984 | 951 | 55% | 2011-12-02 | Won |
1070 | 1001 | 60% | 2011-12-02 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1057.3 vs 1021.6 has a 55.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).