Ivanovskii
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (17 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 40
Defender wins (Russian): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1183 | 1088 | 63% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
958 | 1012 | 42% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
916 | 1107 | 25% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
1093 | 780 | 86% | 2023-04-22 | Won |
1172 | 1064 | 65% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
1300 | 1014 | 84% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
986 | 1013 | 46% | 2021-01-10 | Won |
919 | 961 | 44% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
1198 | 985 | 77% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
971 | 952 | 53% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
1012 | 1047 | 45% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
1300 | 1169 | 68% | 2012-05-04 | Won |
1097 | 986 | 65% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
958 | 870 | 62% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
1300 | 1093 | 77% | 2011-12-27 | Won |
998 | 958 | 56% | 2011-12-02 | Won |
1087 | 1015 | 60% | 2011-12-02 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1085.2 vs 1006.7 has a 61.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).