BB Gun at the Baby Parade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (8 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 10
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1173 | 1071 | 64% | 2013-10-03 | Won |
| 959 | 1283 | 13% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1027 | 987 | 56% | 2012-02-17 | Won |
| 1117 | 1125 | 49% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1024 | 50% | 2012-01-28 | Lost |
| 1096 | 977 | 66% | 2011-12-02 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1105 | 39% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1014 | 910 | 65% | 2011-09-15 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1054.6 vs 1060.3 has a 49.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).