BB Gun at the Baby Parade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (8 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 10
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1174 | 1071 | 64% | 2013-10-03 | Won |
| 1003 | 1274 | 17% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1031 | 986 | 56% | 2012-02-17 | Won |
| 1100 | 1124 | 47% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1029 | 56% | 2012-01-28 | Lost |
| 1090 | 978 | 66% | 2011-12-02 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1083 | 42% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1014 | 867 | 70% | 2011-09-15 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1064 vs 1051.5 has a 51.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).