BB Gun at the Baby Parade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (8 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 10
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1115 | 1070 | 56% | 2013-10-03 | Won |
| 941 | 1265 | 13% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1036 | 986 | 57% | 2012-02-17 | Won |
| 1060 | 1109 | 43% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1052 | 49% | 2012-01-28 | Lost |
| 1163 | 978 | 74% | 2011-12-02 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1044 | 48% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1014 | 998 | 52% | 2011-09-15 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1050.4 vs 1062.8 has a 48.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).