Happy Valley
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51 (12 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 33
Defender wins (American): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 944 | 50% | 2022-11-13 | Won |
| 1008 | 991 | 52% | 2020-11-23 | Lost |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2020-07-22 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 1037 | 966 | 60% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-11-26 | Won |
| 1007 | 1004 | 50% | 2017-02-04 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1039 | 63% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
| 1025 | 1066 | 44% | 2012-08-14 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1254 | 33% | 2012-03-03 | Won |
| 1000 | 1158 | 29% | 2012-02-16 | Won |
| 1082 | 1067 | 52% | 2011-12-27 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1035.9 vs 1044.6 has a 48.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).