Happy Valley
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (14 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 33
Defender wins (American): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 928 | 52% | 2022-11-13 | Won |
| 1010 | 993 | 52% | 2020-11-23 | Lost |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2020-07-22 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2020-04-22 | Won |
| 1019 | 956 | 59% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-11-26 | Won |
| 976 | 1055 | 39% | 2017-02-04 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2015-07-08 | Lost |
| 1118 | 1039 | 61% | 2013-04-06 | Won |
| 1020 | 1071 | 43% | 2012-08-14 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1006 | 87% | 2012-03-29 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1313 | 24% | 2012-03-03 | Won |
| 1060 | 1174 | 34% | 2012-02-16 | Won |
| 1030 | 1030 | 50% | 2011-12-27 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1053.6 vs 1047.8 has a 50.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).