Lost Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13
Attacker wins (American): 3
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1089 | 52% | 2019-05-30 | Lost |
| 968 | 961 | 51% | 2017-09-16 | Won |
| 1191 | 1181 | 51% | 2017-09-03 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2016-10-03 | Won |
| 1127 | 970 | 71% | 2016-08-10 | Lost |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2015-02-22 | Won |
| 1067 | 1019 | 57% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1105 | 53% | 2014-01-02 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1125 | 45% | 2012-03-15 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1041 | 58% | 2012-02-04 | Tied |
| 1118 | 1107 | 52% | 2011-01-15 | Lost |
| 1090 | 969 | 67% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1096.4 vs 1048.1 has a 56.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).