Lost Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (American): 2
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1100 | 1089 | 52% | 2019-05-30 | Lost |
| 970 | 962 | 51% | 2017-09-16 | Won |
| 1199 | 1199 | 50% | 2017-09-03 | Lost |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2016-08-10 | Lost |
| 1111 | 984 | 68% | 2015-02-22 | Won |
| 1066 | 1025 | 56% | 2014-09-14 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1081 | 56% | 2014-01-02 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1043 | 60% | 2013-09-28 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1125 | 45% | 2012-03-15 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1037 | 58% | 2012-02-04 | Tied |
| 1125 | 1110 | 52% | 2011-01-15 | Lost |
| 1131 | 984 | 70% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1106.8 vs 1050.5 has a 58.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).