For Want of Either Crust or Crumb
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian (Vannay)): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2021-09-25 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1133 | 62% | 2021-05-27 | Won |
| 1140 | 857 | 84% | 2019-01-25 | Won |
| 862 | 1022 | 28% | 2015-03-03 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2014-08-19 | Won |
| 981 | 1216 | 21% | 2014-03-31 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1035.8 vs 1040.7 has a 49.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).