At The Narrow Passage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (16 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian / Hungarian): 14
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian (Vannay)): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 756 | 1029 | 17% | 2025-01-24 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1029 | 56% | 2025-01-23 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2021-04-24 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1231 | 49% | 2020-05-25 | Won |
| 1159 | 1226 | 40% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 1053 | 975 | 61% | 2018-08-06 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1037 | 64% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
| 893 | 981 | 38% | 2018-07-22 | Won |
| 1150 | 1226 | 39% | 2017-12-30 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2017-12-03 | Tied |
| 984 | 1158 | 27% | 2016-01-16 | Won |
| 1012 | 1159 | 30% | 2015-12-21 | Lost |
| 1040 | 867 | 73% | 2015-04-30 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1036 | 58% | 2012-04-07 | Tied |
| 1027 | 1036 | 49% | 2012-03-03 | Tied |
| 984 | 963 | 53% | 2012-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1046.5 vs 1075.1 has a 45.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).