At The Narrow Passage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (16 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian / Hungarian): 11
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian (Vannay)): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 839 | 1030 | 25% | 2025-01-24 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2025-01-23 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | 2021-04-24 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1000 | 74% | 2020-05-25 | Won |
| 1159 | 1188 | 46% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 1050 | 1012 | 55% | 2018-08-06 | Lost |
| 995 | 973 | 53% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
| 964 | 981 | 48% | 2018-07-22 | Won |
| 1151 | 1188 | 45% | 2017-12-30 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1188 | 43% | 2017-12-03 | Tied |
| 1015 | 1128 | 34% | 2016-01-16 | Won |
| 1037 | 1095 | 42% | 2015-12-21 | Lost |
| 1096 | 871 | 79% | 2015-04-30 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1037 | 58% | 2012-04-07 | Tied |
| 1075 | 1037 | 55% | 2012-03-03 | Tied |
| 1015 | 979 | 55% | 2012-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1055.9 vs 1051.7 has a 50.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).