At The Narrow Passage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (16 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian / Hungarian): 11
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian (Vannay)): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 729 | 1082 | 12% | 2025-01-24 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1082 | 49% | 2025-01-23 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2021-04-24 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1231 | 49% | 2020-05-25 | Won |
| 1159 | 1226 | 40% | 2018-11-10 | Won |
| 1051 | 974 | 61% | 2018-08-06 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1034 | 64% | 2018-08-04 | Lost |
| 950 | 981 | 46% | 2018-07-22 | Won |
| 1150 | 1226 | 39% | 2017-12-30 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1226 | 37% | 2017-12-03 | Tied |
| 1209 | 1158 | 57% | 2016-01-16 | Won |
| 947 | 1127 | 26% | 2015-12-21 | Lost |
| 1118 | 866 | 81% | 2015-04-30 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1041 | 57% | 2012-04-07 | Tied |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2012-03-03 | Tied |
| 1209 | 963 | 80% | 2012-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1080.1 vs 1082.6 has a 49.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).