Tropic Lightning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (16 on the archive and 72 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 38
Defender wins (Japanese): 50
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1111 | 1111 | 50% | 2024-03-10 | Lost |
1334 | 1094 | 80% | 2022-06-17 | Won |
1057 | 1015 | 56% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
953 | 1191 | 20% | 2020-12-28 | Lost |
1128 | 1109 | 53% | 2020-04-10 | Won |
1088 | 1154 | 41% | 2018-11-29 | Lost |
964 | 1095 | 32% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
898 | 1104 | 23% | 2017-09-06 | Lost |
1128 | 1095 | 55% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
816 | 1095 | 17% | 2014-04-07 | Won |
1007 | 975 | 55% | 2013-12-14 | Won |
1027 | 1049 | 47% | 2013-07-16 | Lost |
963 | 924 | 56% | 2013-06-14 | Lost |
1158 | 1172 | 48% | 2013-01-19 | Lost |
1088 | 1068 | 53% | 2012-12-23 | Lost |
1137 | 865 | 83% | 2012-11-17 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1053.6 vs 1069.8 has a 47.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).