The Abbeville Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (French): 5
Defender wins (German): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 914 | 914 | 50% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1223 | 28% | 2023-09-19 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1029 | 59% | 2022-11-29 | Lost |
| 942 | 1036 | 37% | 2020-07-17 | Lost |
| 992 | 1260 | 18% | 2017-06-23 | Lost |
| 933 | 1259 | 13% | 2015-12-30 | Lost |
| 937 | 1190 | 19% | 2015-03-03 | Won |
| 1148 | 1115 | 55% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
| 1082 | 889 | 75% | 2014-10-09 | Won |
| 1223 | 967 | 81% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1125 | 1126 | 50% | 2013-11-15 | Lost |
| 1084 | 959 | 67% | 2013-06-21 | Won |
| 983 | 1112 | 32% | 2013-05-18 | Won |
| 1098 | 1051 | 57% | 2013-04-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1044.1 vs 1080.7 has a 44.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).