About His Shadowy Sides
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (20 on the archive and 59 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 37
Defender wins (German): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1123 | 952 | 73% | 2026-06-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2025-08-15 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2025-08-15 | | Lost |
| 869 | 1089 | 22% | 2025-03-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2024-08-29 | | Won |
| 820 | 1061 | 20% | 2024-03-09 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1000 | 46% | 2024-01-13 | | Won |
| 989 | 985 | 51% | 2022-12-22 | | Won |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2022-08-29 | | Tied |
| 1174 | 1258 | 38% | 2021-11-06 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2020-11-30 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1078 | 44% | 2020-10-01 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1000 | 49% | 2019-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1085 | 49% | 2018-12-15 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 965 | 72% | 2017-01-07 | | Won |
| 1133 | 965 | 72% | 2017-01-07 | | Won |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2017-01-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1147 | 30% | 2015-04-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2014-12-22 | | Lost |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2014-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1002.9 vs 1048.4 has a 43.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).