The Clearing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (26 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 35
Defender wins (German): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1220 | 986 | 79% | 2025-02-11 | Won |
| 986 | 987 | 50% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 739 | 868 | 32% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
| 933 | 1012 | 39% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1033 | 1040 | 49% | 2024-11-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1117 | 34% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1082 | 1105 | 47% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1044 | 73% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2022-08-16 | Lost |
| 1042 | 986 | 58% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
| 1077 | 1044 | 55% | 2021-08-22 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
| 1007 | 763 | 80% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
| 916 | 1139 | 22% | 2019-10-23 | Lost |
| 979 | 1056 | 39% | 2019-10-11 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2019-05-12 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1080 | 54% | 2018-10-07 | Lost |
| 1069 | 992 | 61% | 2017-10-11 | Won |
| 914 | 1038 | 33% | 2016-06-24 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1212 | 30% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
| 957 | 1077 | 33% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1151 | 35% | 2013-09-27 | Won |
| 942 | 940 | 50% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 965 | 1091 | 33% | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1012 vs 1045.2 has a 45.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).