The Clearing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (25 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 35
Defender wins (German): 36
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1232 | 1002 | 79% | 2025-02-11 | Won |
| 1002 | 968 | 55% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 991 | 868 | 67% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
| 967 | 1043 | 39% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1033 | 1032 | 50% | 2024-11-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1117 | 34% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 970 | 1028 | 42% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1082 | 1082 | 50% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 1232 | 1044 | 75% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 733 | 1140 | 9% | 2022-08-16 | Lost |
| 1184 | 986 | 76% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
| 1065 | 1046 | 53% | 2021-08-22 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
| 1008 | 778 | 79% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
| 916 | 1139 | 22% | 2019-10-23 | Lost |
| 979 | 1055 | 39% | 2019-10-11 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1079 | 54% | 2018-10-07 | Lost |
| 1102 | 975 | 68% | 2017-10-11 | Won |
| 917 | 1054 | 31% | 2016-06-24 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1211 | 33% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
| 957 | 1065 | 35% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1084 | 44% | 2013-09-27 | Won |
| 882 | 940 | 42% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 970 | 1084 | 34% | | Lost |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1029.2 vs 1042.7 has a 48.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).