The Clearing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (24 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 34
Defender wins (German): 35
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1203 | 1010 | 75% | 2025-02-11 | Won |
| 1010 | 960 | 57% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 860 | 860 | 50% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
| 927 | 1028 | 36% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1033 | 1048 | 48% | 2024-11-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 969 | 1031 | 41% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1053 | 1063 | 49% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1114 | 63% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1205 | 985 | 78% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
| 1024 | 1084 | 41% | 2021-08-22 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
| 1002 | 794 | 77% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
| 916 | 1142 | 21% | 2019-10-23 | Lost |
| 980 | 1045 | 41% | 2019-10-11 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1073 | 54% | 2018-10-07 | Lost |
| 1195 | 877 | 86% | 2017-10-11 | Won |
| 957 | 1009 | 43% | 2016-06-24 | Lost |
| 1079 | 940 | 69% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
| 957 | 1024 | 40% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1108 | 42% | 2013-09-27 | Won |
| 966 | 940 | 54% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 970 | 1105 | 31% | | Lost |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1041.7 vs 1025.3 has a 52.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).