The Clearing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (24 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 35
Defender wins (German): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1266 | 1016 | 81% | 2025-02-11 | Won |
| 1016 | 960 | 58% | 2025-02-06 | Lost |
| 748 | 868 | 33% | 2025-01-15 | Won |
| 906 | 1042 | 31% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1033 | 1055 | 47% | 2024-11-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1111 | 35% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 968 | 1031 | 41% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 1266 | 1044 | 78% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1241 | 985 | 81% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
| 1041 | 1084 | 44% | 2021-08-22 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
| 1019 | 786 | 79% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
| 916 | 1152 | 20% | 2019-10-23 | Lost |
| 979 | 1043 | 41% | 2019-10-11 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1075 | 54% | 2018-10-07 | Lost |
| 1199 | 869 | 87% | 2017-10-11 | Won |
| 945 | 1017 | 40% | 2016-06-24 | Lost |
| 1125 | 940 | 74% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
| 957 | 1041 | 38% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1100 | 47% | 2013-09-27 | Won |
| 993 | 940 | 58% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 970 | 1131 | 28% | | Lost |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1047.8 vs 1027.4 has a 52.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).