The Clearing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (21 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 30
Defender wins (German): 33
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 930 | 1011 | 39% | 2024-11-15 | Won |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2024-11-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 969 | 1031 | 41% | 2024-03-04 | Won |
| 1025 | 1055 | 46% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1158 | 64% | 2022-09-04 | Won |
| 1111 | 985 | 67% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
| 1072 | 1084 | 48% | 2021-08-22 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2020-12-12 | Lost |
| 1001 | 801 | 76% | 2020-05-02 | Won |
| 916 | 1142 | 21% | 2019-10-23 | Lost |
| 979 | 1044 | 41% | 2019-10-11 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1074 | 54% | 2018-10-07 | Lost |
| 1128 | 861 | 82% | 2017-10-11 | Won |
| 945 | 933 | 52% | 2016-06-24 | Lost |
| 1037 | 940 | 64% | 2014-10-06 | Won |
| 958 | 1072 | 34% | 2014-01-11 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1110 | 46% | 2013-09-27 | Won |
| 955 | 945 | 51% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 979 | 1167 | 25% | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1167 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1038.8 vs 1041.2 has a 49.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).