The Roer Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (American): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 994 | 802 | 75% | 2025-03-08 | Won |
| 802 | 994 | 25% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 893 | 1203 | 14% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
| 1203 | 893 | 86% | 2021-11-26 | Won |
| 1193 | 1091 | 64% | 2021-04-22 | Lost |
| 1110 | 878 | 79% | 2020-10-11 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2015-10-17 | Won |
| 1070 | 922 | 70% | 2014-10-05 | Won |
| 1149 | 1123 | 54% | 2013-07-14 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1041 | 55% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1066.3 vs 1017.3 has a 57.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).