The Roer Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (American): 3
Defender wins (German): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 980 | 993 | 48% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 993 | 980 | 52% | 2025-03-05 | Lost |
| 1079 | 975 | 65% | 2021-11-27 | Won |
| 975 | 1079 | 35% | 2021-11-26 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1177 | 37% | 2021-04-22 | Won |
| 878 | 1102 | 22% | 2020-10-11 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2015-10-17 | Lost |
| 918 | 1075 | 29% | 2014-10-05 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1149 | 41% | 2013-07-14 | Won |
| 980 | 1105 | 33% | 2013-03-09 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1020.2 vs 1080.9 has a 41.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).