The Roer Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (American): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 997 | 1032 | 45% | 2025-03-08 | Won |
| 1032 | 997 | 55% | 2025-03-05 | Won |
| 869 | 1219 | 12% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
| 1219 | 869 | 88% | 2021-11-26 | Won |
| 1217 | 1088 | 68% | 2021-04-22 | Lost |
| 1106 | 875 | 79% | 2020-10-11 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2015-10-17 | Won |
| 1114 | 900 | 77% | 2014-10-05 | Won |
| 1155 | 1082 | 60% | 2013-07-14 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1115 | 35% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1089 vs 1040 has a 57.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).