The Roer Bridgehead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (American): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
853 | 1114 | 18% | 2021-11-27 | Lost |
1114 | 853 | 82% | 2021-11-26 | Won |
1055 | 1100 | 44% | 2021-04-22 | Lost |
1126 | 875 | 81% | 2020-10-11 | Won |
1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2015-10-17 | Won |
1031 | 955 | 61% | 2014-10-05 | Won |
1155 | 1083 | 60% | 2013-07-14 | Lost |
1056 | 1100 | 44% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1070.1 vs 1037.9 has a 54.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).