Smith & Weston
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (15 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 16
Defender wins (American): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1087 | 42% | 2024-07-19 | Won |
| 1018 | 1020 | 50% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 848 | 999 | 30% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
| 1032 | 1010 | 53% | 2023-02-24 | Won |
| 1076 | 944 | 68% | 2022-02-22 | Won |
| 1156 | 986 | 73% | 2021-09-05 | Won |
| 1051 | 944 | 65% | 2021-08-23 | Lost |
| 992 | 1019 | 46% | 2018-08-25 | Lost |
| 980 | 992 | 48% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
| 914 | 1102 | 25% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1090 | 57% | 2015-06-13 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2014-03-19 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1127 | 45% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1094 | 42% | 2013-12-07 | Won |
| 1146 | 891 | 81% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1035.5 vs 1022.9 has a 51.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).