Smith & Weston
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (15 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 16
Defender wins (American): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 986 | 56% | 2024-07-19 | Won |
| 1024 | 1020 | 51% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 843 | 1012 | 27% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2023-02-24 | Won |
| 1151 | 964 | 75% | 2022-02-22 | Won |
| 986 | 986 | 50% | 2021-09-05 | Won |
| 1068 | 966 | 64% | 2021-08-23 | Lost |
| 985 | 1021 | 45% | 2018-08-25 | Lost |
| 980 | 985 | 49% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
| 941 | 1102 | 28% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1080 | 59% | 2015-06-13 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2014-03-19 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1118 | 46% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1094 | 42% | 2013-12-07 | Won |
| 1128 | 890 | 80% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1033.5 vs 1015.3 has a 52.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).