Smith & Weston
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 110 (13 on the archive and 97 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 49
Defender wins (American): 61
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1023 | 1028 | 49% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
879 | 1000 | 33% | 2023-08-16 | Won |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2023-02-24 | Won |
991 | 987 | 51% | 2021-09-05 | Won |
929 | 920 | 51% | 2021-08-23 | Lost |
890 | 1017 | 32% | 2018-08-25 | Lost |
980 | 890 | 63% | 2017-01-25 | Lost |
917 | 1090 | 27% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
1137 | 1109 | 54% | 2015-06-13 | Lost |
1019 | 1036 | 48% | 2014-03-19 | Lost |
1095 | 1095 | 50% | 2014-03-10 | Lost |
1037 | 1095 | 42% | 2013-12-07 | Won |
989 | 887 | 64% | 2013-11-23 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 990.7 vs 1013.8 has a 46.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).