The Red Hammer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (11 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1064 | 1099 | 45% | 2018-07-06 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2015-08-15 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1020 | 72% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 1146 | 1100 | 57% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1100 | 57% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1226 | 30% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 982 | 1039 | 42% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1100 | 982 | 66% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1036 | 984 | 57% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1036 | 61% | 2013-10-06 | Lost |
| 998 | 1071 | 40% | 2011-02-02 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1097.4 vs 1075.5 has a 53.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).