The Red Hammer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (11 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1099 | 39% | 2018-07-06 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2015-08-15 | Lost |
| 1165 | 1012 | 71% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 1190 | 1101 | 63% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1101 | 63% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1226 | 30% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 982 | 1056 | 40% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1101 | 982 | 66% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1019 | 984 | 55% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1037 | 67% | 2013-10-06 | Lost |
| 893 | 1066 | 27% | 2011-02-02 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1093.1 vs 1076.2 has a 52.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).