The Red Hammer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (11 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1109 | 1098 | 52% | 2018-07-06 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2015-08-15 | Lost |
| 1206 | 1026 | 74% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 1128 | 1100 | 54% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1100 | 54% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1226 | 30% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 982 | 1054 | 40% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1100 | 982 | 66% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1010 | 984 | 54% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1033 | 69% | 2013-10-06 | Lost |
| 953 | 1070 | 34% | 2011-02-02 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1099.3 vs 1077 has a 53.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).