The Red Hammer
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (11 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1118 | 1110 | 51% | 2018-07-06 | Lost |
| 1146 | 1132 | 52% | 2015-08-15 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1072 | 45% | 2013-12-01 | Won |
| 1100 | 1098 | 50% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1098 | 50% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1146 | 42% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 887 | 1067 | 26% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 1098 | 887 | 77% | 2013-10-10 | Won |
| 1225 | 984 | 80% | 2013-10-08 | Lost |
| 1113 | 989 | 67% | 2013-10-06 | Lost |
| 867 | 1081 | 23% | 2011-02-02 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1070.8 vs 1060.4 has a 51.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).