Slicing the Throat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (20 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 34
Defender wins (British): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1059 | 54% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1070 | 1070 | 50% | 2024-10-30 | Won |
| 1131 | 1133 | 50% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1133 | 1131 | 50% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1155 | 1030 | 67% | 2024-01-22 | Tied |
| 997 | 1123 | 33% | 2020-10-31 | Won |
| 1121 | 1127 | 49% | 2020-09-25 | Won |
| 1214 | 1076 | 69% | 2019-06-17 | Won |
| 1133 | 1115 | 53% | 2019-04-04 | Won |
| 1215 | 947 | 82% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1215 | 947 | 82% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1061 | 937 | 67% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 964 | 1063 | 36% | 2016-08-20 | Won |
| 1070 | 1099 | 46% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1063 | 1049 | 52% | 2014-10-23 | Won |
| 1065 | 977 | 62% | 2014-07-13 | Won |
| 836 | 927 | 37% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1051 | 55% | 2014-05-30 | Won |
| 1028 | 1014 | 52% | 2014-05-23 | Won |
| 1154 | 934 | 78% | 2014-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1089.8 vs 1040.5 has a 57.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).