Slicing the Throat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (20 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 34
Defender wins (British): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1056 | 43% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 997 | 1219 | 22% | 2024-10-30 | Won |
| 1125 | 1131 | 49% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1131 | 1125 | 51% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1124 | 1018 | 65% | 2024-01-22 | Tied |
| 976 | 1073 | 36% | 2020-10-31 | Won |
| 1169 | 1180 | 48% | 2020-09-25 | Won |
| 1216 | 1076 | 69% | 2019-06-17 | Won |
| 1132 | 1072 | 59% | 2019-04-04 | Won |
| 1216 | 981 | 79% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1216 | 981 | 79% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 964 | 1076 | 34% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1053 | 43% | 2016-08-20 | Won |
| 1040 | 1084 | 44% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1068 | 1068 | 50% | 2014-10-23 | Won |
| 1098 | 977 | 67% | 2014-07-13 | Won |
| 835 | 889 | 42% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1045 | 56% | 2014-05-30 | Won |
| 1054 | 993 | 59% | 2014-05-23 | Won |
| 1219 | 973 | 80% | 2014-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1083.9 vs 1053.5 has a 54.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).