Slicing the Throat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (19 on the archive and 55 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 55
Defender wins (British): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
946 | 957 | 48% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
954 | 993 | 44% | 2024-10-30 | Won |
1198 | 1205 | 49% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
1205 | 1198 | 51% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
1124 | 986 | 69% | 2024-01-22 | Tied |
961 | 1047 | 38% | 2020-10-31 | Won |
1118 | 1138 | 47% | 2020-09-25 | Won |
1211 | 1078 | 68% | 2019-06-17 | Won |
1133 | 1077 | 58% | 2019-04-04 | Won |
1242 | 955 | 84% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
1242 | 955 | 84% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
1059 | 944 | 66% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
929 | 994 | 41% | 2016-08-20 | Won |
1070 | 1110 | 44% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
1022 | 977 | 56% | 2014-07-13 | Won |
837 | 944 | 35% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
1115 | 1087 | 54% | 2014-05-30 | Won |
1058 | 1009 | 57% | 2014-05-23 | Won |
1181 | 1011 | 73% | 2014-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1084.5 vs 1035 has a 57.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).