Slicing the Throat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (20 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 56
Defender wins (British): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 984 | 59% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1045 | 1064 | 47% | 2024-10-30 | Won |
| 1143 | 1132 | 52% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1132 | 1143 | 48% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
| 1156 | 1029 | 68% | 2024-01-22 | Tied |
| 998 | 1064 | 41% | 2020-10-31 | Won |
| 1154 | 1115 | 56% | 2020-09-25 | Won |
| 1214 | 1076 | 69% | 2019-06-17 | Won |
| 1133 | 1098 | 55% | 2019-04-04 | Won |
| 1215 | 947 | 82% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1215 | 947 | 82% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
| 1020 | 964 | 58% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 964 | 1046 | 38% | 2016-08-20 | Won |
| 1070 | 1099 | 46% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2014-10-23 | Won |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2014-07-13 | Won |
| 836 | 998 | 28% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1052 | 55% | 2014-05-30 | Won |
| 1036 | 1014 | 53% | 2014-05-23 | Won |
| 1158 | 764 | 91% | 2014-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1086.7 vs 1028.2 has a 58.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).