Slicing the Throat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (19 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 55
Defender wins (British): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1061 | 986 | 61% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2024-10-30 | Won |
1162 | 1207 | 44% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
1207 | 1162 | 56% | 2024-08-24 | Won |
1149 | 1029 | 67% | 2024-01-22 | Tied |
990 | 1082 | 37% | 2020-10-31 | Won |
1142 | 1133 | 51% | 2020-09-25 | Won |
1209 | 1078 | 68% | 2019-06-17 | Won |
1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2019-04-04 | Won |
1224 | 953 | 83% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
1224 | 953 | 83% | 2018-06-03 | Won |
1007 | 1004 | 50% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
949 | 1005 | 42% | 2016-08-20 | Won |
1070 | 1087 | 48% | 2015-12-01 | Won |
1058 | 976 | 62% | 2014-07-13 | Won |
837 | 966 | 32% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
1094 | 1061 | 55% | 2014-05-30 | Won |
1014 | 994 | 53% | 2014-05-23 | Won |
1158 | 1032 | 67% | 2014-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1091.2 vs 1044.2 has a 56.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).