End of the Beginning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 67 (11 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 28
Defender wins (British): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 932 | 1102 | 27% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 827 | 1176 | 12% | 2020-02-09 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1072 | 59% | 2019-10-23 | Won |
| 1054 | 1057 | 50% | 2019-04-14 | Won |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2015-05-05 | Won |
| 1169 | 1173 | 49% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2014-10-20 | Lost |
| 1140 | 882 | 82% | 2014-07-05 | Lost |
| 1344 | 1344 | 50% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1232 | 28% | 2014-04-16 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1018 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1073.3 vs 1112.9 has a 44.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).