End of the Beginning
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (12 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 29
Defender wins (British): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1070 | 1083 | 48% | 2026-03-19 | Won |
| 932 | 1102 | 27% | 2021-02-20 | Lost |
| 820 | 1057 | 20% | 2020-02-09 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1030 | 64% | 2019-10-23 | Won |
| 1051 | 1055 | 49% | 2019-04-14 | Won |
| 1060 | 1067 | 49% | 2015-05-05 | Won |
| 1182 | 1127 | 58% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2014-10-20 | Lost |
| 1140 | 882 | 82% | 2014-07-05 | Lost |
| 908 | 1342 | 8% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1219 | 30% | 2014-04-16 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1091 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1036.5 vs 1097.9 has a 41.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).