Forcing the Berezina
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (3 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 2
Defender wins (German): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1149 | 865 | 84% | 2022-12-30 | Won |
1024 | 1168 | 30% | 2013-10-08 | Won |
1011 | 1054 | 44% | 2013-10-04 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1061.3 vs 1029 has a 54.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).