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Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (11 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 16
Defender wins (German (SS)): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2025-05-07 | Won |
| 861 | 878 | 48% | 2023-06-19 | Won |
| 1076 | 1112 | 45% | 2021-10-21 | Won |
| 1013 | 989 | 53% | 2021-07-12 | Won |
| 1045 | 1163 | 34% | 2020-08-19 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1163 | 42% | 2020-07-25 | Lost |
| 1163 | 992 | 73% | 2020-07-07 | Won |
| 1018 | 982 | 55% | 2018-10-29 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1114 | 50% | 2016-05-15 | Won |
| 1115 | 992 | 67% | 2014-07-16 | Won |
| 1115 | 992 | 67% | 2014-07-16 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1051.2 vs 1028.7 has a 53.23% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).