To Ashes
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (15 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (British): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1115 | 1010 | 65% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 943 | 1014 | 40% | 2020-10-09 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1172 | 42% | 2020-08-07 | Won |
| 1082 | 1116 | 45% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1082 | 1116 | 45% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1213 | 1157 | 58% | 2018-04-21 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1316 | 21% | 2018-03-24 | Lost |
| 1147 | 1032 | 66% | 2016-03-27 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1031 | 67% | 2015-10-06 | Lost |
| 893 | 1061 | 28% | 2015-05-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2015-05-11 | Lost |
| 899 | 966 | 40% | 2015-05-04 | Won |
| 1058 | 955 | 64% | 2015-04-13 | Won |
| 1081 | 1133 | 43% | 2014-12-30 | Won |
| 1136 | 1058 | 61% | 2014-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1067.5 vs 1079.9 has a 48.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).