An Estonian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (17 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Estonian): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 944 | 1056 | 34% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 901 | 1213 | 14% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1077 | 1026 | 57% | 2021-11-29 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1129 | 50% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 1022 | 977 | 56% | 2020-09-13 | Won |
| 1140 | 953 | 75% | 2018-12-11 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1043 | 67% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 955 | 927 | 54% | 2015-05-17 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1156 | 71% | 2015-03-26 | Won |
| 1115 | 1245 | 32% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1047 | 57% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
| 1067 | 907 | 72% | 2015-02-06 | Lost |
| 1056 | 986 | 60% | 2014-10-30 | Won |
| 1012 | 889 | 67% | 2014-10-10 | Won |
| 1022 | 1132 | 35% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 974 | 1037 | 41% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1171 | 1171 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1068.2 vs 1052.6 has a 52.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).