An Estonian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (Estonian): 11
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1072 | 40% | 2024-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 913 | 62% | 2024-06-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2024-06-22 | | Won |
| 970 | 1000 | 46% | 2023-11-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1096 | 37% | 2021-11-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1102 | 36% | 2020-11-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-09-13 | | Won |
| 1135 | 954 | 74% | 2019-02-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-12-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1085 | 38% | 2015-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-05-17 | | Lost |
| 956 | 1000 | 44% | 2015-03-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2015-02-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1030 | 46% | 2015-02-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-02-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-10-30 | | Won |
| 1001 | 1074 | 40% | 2014-10-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 978 | 53% | 2014-10-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 986 | 52% | 2014-10-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-10-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1002.8 vs 1026.3 has a 46.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).