An Estonian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (22 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Estonian): 31
Defender wins (Russian): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1026 | 1026 | 50% | 2024-08-30 | Lost |
| 998 | 1085 | 38% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 893 | 1218 | 13% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1080 | 1011 | 60% | 2023-11-19 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1030 | 61% | 2021-11-29 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1127 | 58% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 1129 | 982 | 70% | 2020-09-13 | Won |
| 1342 | 1059 | 84% | 2019-02-02 | Won |
| 1083 | 995 | 62% | 2018-12-11 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1056 | 66% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 885 | 939 | 42% | 2015-05-17 | Lost |
| 1251 | 1012 | 80% | 2015-03-26 | Won |
| 1042 | 1245 | 24% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1036 | 58% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
| 1071 | 908 | 72% | 2015-02-06 | Lost |
| 938 | 962 | 47% | 2015-02-01 | Lost |
| 1060 | 997 | 59% | 2014-10-30 | Won |
| 1005 | 1140 | 31% | 2014-10-11 | Lost |
| 1011 | 890 | 67% | 2014-10-10 | Won |
| 1129 | 1155 | 46% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 973 | 1040 | 40% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1021 | 1039 | 47% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1067.7 vs 1043.3 has a 53.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).