An Estonian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (19 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Estonian): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 33
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 938 | 1020 | 38% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 892 | 1233 | 12% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1024 | 1012 | 52% | 2023-11-19 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1062 | 53% | 2021-11-29 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1161 | 47% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 1023 | 976 | 57% | 2020-09-13 | Won |
| 1195 | 929 | 82% | 2018-12-11 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1045 | 67% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 966 | 925 | 56% | 2015-05-17 | Lost |
| 1302 | 1156 | 70% | 2015-03-26 | Won |
| 1061 | 1244 | 26% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1024 | 60% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
| 1066 | 907 | 71% | 2015-02-06 | Lost |
| 938 | 861 | 61% | 2015-02-01 | Lost |
| 1058 | 985 | 60% | 2014-10-30 | Won |
| 1012 | 889 | 67% | 2014-10-10 | Won |
| 975 | 1079 | 35% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1023 | 1159 | 31% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1059.2 vs 1040.6 has a 52.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).