An Estonian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (20 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Estonian): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1095 | 37% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 893 | 1188 | 15% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1067 | 1012 | 58% | 2023-11-19 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1085 | 48% | 2021-11-29 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1174 | 48% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 1099 | 977 | 67% | 2020-09-13 | Won |
| 1138 | 930 | 77% | 2018-12-11 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1054 | 66% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 903 | 939 | 45% | 2015-05-17 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1012 | 82% | 2015-03-26 | Won |
| 1072 | 1245 | 27% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1037 | 58% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
| 1067 | 907 | 72% | 2015-02-06 | Lost |
| 938 | 952 | 48% | 2015-02-01 | Lost |
| 1058 | 996 | 59% | 2014-10-30 | Won |
| 1015 | 1138 | 33% | 2014-10-11 | Lost |
| 1011 | 890 | 67% | 2014-10-10 | Won |
| 1099 | 1146 | 43% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 970 | 1086 | 34% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1095 | 1083 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1060 vs 1047.3 has a 51.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).