An Estonian Interlude
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (19 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Estonian): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 33
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 1073 | 36% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 892 | 1204 | 14% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1014 | 1012 | 50% | 2023-11-19 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1128 | 41% | 2021-11-29 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1122 | 53% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2020-09-13 | Won |
| 1199 | 910 | 84% | 2018-12-11 | Lost |
| 1166 | 1043 | 67% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 993 | 939 | 58% | 2015-05-17 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1012 | 85% | 2015-03-26 | Won |
| 1086 | 1244 | 29% | 2015-03-06 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1041 | 58% | 2015-02-07 | Lost |
| 1066 | 907 | 71% | 2015-02-06 | Lost |
| 938 | 948 | 49% | 2015-02-01 | Lost |
| 1058 | 985 | 60% | 2014-10-30 | Won |
| 1012 | 889 | 67% | 2014-10-10 | Won |
| 1058 | 1145 | 38% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 975 | 1125 | 30% | 2014-10-07 | Won |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1064.9 vs 1043.9 has a 53.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).