Poteau Party
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (11 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 21
Defender wins (American): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2025-05-24 | Lost |
| 978 | 1028 | 43% | 2024-03-24 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1018 | 59% | 2024-02-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-10-15 | Won |
| 1091 | 1139 | 43% | 2019-04-03 | Lost |
| 1152 | 713 | 93% | 2016-04-21 | Won |
| 1196 | 902 | 84% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1226 | 24% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 902 | 1109 | 23% | 2015-10-04 | Lost |
| 958 | 1067 | 35% | 2015-01-19 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1007 | 64% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1055.5 vs 1030.5 has a 53.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).