Poteau Party
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (13 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (American): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 955 | 1052 | 36% | 2025-12-30 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2025-12-06 | Tied |
| 1022 | 1036 | 48% | 2025-05-24 | Lost |
| 986 | 1019 | 45% | 2024-03-24 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1028 | 50% | 2024-02-29 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-10-15 | Won |
| 1072 | 1175 | 36% | 2019-04-03 | Lost |
| 1140 | 727 | 92% | 2016-04-21 | Won |
| 1167 | 1195 | 46% | 2015-11-07 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1226 | 24% | 2015-10-11 | Lost |
| 1195 | 1131 | 59% | 2015-10-04 | Lost |
| 960 | 1071 | 35% | 2015-01-19 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1054.9 vs 1060.8 has a 49.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).