Night Fans
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (8 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (Finnish): 20
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 988 | 1054 | 41% | 2024-04-16 | Won |
| 1055 | 1069 | 48% | 2023-03-23 | Lost |
| 992 | 1038 | 43% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1039 | 961 | 61% | 2021-06-07 | Won |
| 1127 | 1125 | 50% | 2019-11-10 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1143 | 45% | 2019-07-16 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 2018-08-19 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2018-03-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1056.8 vs 1082.4 has a 46.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).