Night Fans
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (7 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 6
Defender wins (Finnish): 19
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1028 | 1006 | 53% | 2024-04-16 | Won |
| 1086 | 1140 | 42% | 2023-03-23 | Lost |
| 1046 | 892 | 71% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1164 | 961 | 76% | 2021-06-07 | Won |
| 1129 | 1106 | 53% | 2019-11-10 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1145 | 43% | 2019-07-16 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1029 | 50% | 2018-03-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1082.3 vs 1039.9 has a 56.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).