Night Fans
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (8 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 15
Defender wins (Finnish): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Finnish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1034 | 46% | 2024-04-16 | Won |
| 1211 | 1183 | 54% | 2023-03-23 | Lost |
| 996 | 1000 | 49% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1051 | 950 | 64% | 2021-06-07 | Won |
| 1163 | 1143 | 53% | 2019-11-10 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1143 | 45% | 2019-07-16 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1202 | 34% | 2018-08-19 | Lost |
| 1104 | 1104 | 50% | 2018-03-26 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1091.1 vs 1094.9 has a 49.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).