Death on the Eismeer Strasse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (19 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1093 | 41% | 2024-11-30 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1093 | 37% | 2024-11-30 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1093 | 41% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1093 | 37% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
| 1050 | 989 | 59% | 2024-10-30 | Won |
| 1115 | 967 | 70% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1210 | 40% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
| 982 | 1069 | 38% | 2020-01-01 | Won |
| 1022 | 937 | 62% | 2019-07-28 | Won |
| 1026 | 931 | 63% | 2019-07-21 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1218 | 41% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
| 1177 | 1151 | 54% | 2017-04-03 | Lost |
| 741 | 1131 | 10% | 2016-06-30 | Lost |
| 889 | 1063 | 27% | 2016-02-24 | Lost |
| 1286 | 1333 | 43% | 2015-12-27 | Lost |
| 1065 | 927 | 69% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2015-08-03 | Lost |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1042.9 vs 1079.7 has a 44.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).