Death on the Eismeer Strasse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (20 on the archive and 33 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 23
Defender wins (Russian): 30
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1070 | 43% | 2024-11-30 | Lost |
| 977 | 1070 | 37% | 2024-11-30 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1070 | 43% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
| 977 | 1070 | 37% | 2024-11-11 | Lost |
| 1050 | 989 | 59% | 2024-10-30 | Won |
| 1133 | 961 | 73% | 2024-06-14 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1245 | 47% | 2020-06-02 | Lost |
| 1013 | 1263 | 19% | 2020-05-30 | Won |
| 982 | 1072 | 37% | 2020-01-01 | Won |
| 1037 | 1038 | 50% | 2019-07-28 | Won |
| 1052 | 931 | 67% | 2019-07-21 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1220 | 39% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
| 1202 | 1117 | 62% | 2017-04-03 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1143 | 38% | 2016-06-30 | Lost |
| 893 | 1029 | 31% | 2016-02-24 | Lost |
| 1286 | 1226 | 59% | 2015-12-27 | Lost |
| 1130 | 927 | 76% | 2015-11-22 | Won |
| 908 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-11-14 | Lost |
| 1217 | 982 | 79% | 2015-08-03 | Lost |
| 982 | 1217 | 21% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1065.4 vs 1082.8 has a 47.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).