A Quick Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (28 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 55
Defender wins (Japanese): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2026-07-19 | | Won |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2026-02-13 | | Won |
| 996 | 1186 | 25% | 2026-02-13 | | Won |
| 1258 | 989 | 82% | 2025-09-30 | | Won |
| 1174 | 1000 | 73% | 2025-07-25 | | Lost |
| 997 | 1170 | 27% | 2025-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1045 | 966 | 61% | 2025-07-03 | | Won |
| 1263 | 1013 | 81% | 2024-12-14 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1092 | 42% | 2024-08-31 | | Won |
| 1028 | 1031 | 50% | 2024-08-24 | | Lost |
| 692 | 1092 | 9% | 2024-07-13 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1119 | 44% | 2024-07-13 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1126 | 32% | 2024-06-22 | | Lost |
| 932 | 1037 | 35% | 2022-10-08 | | Won |
| 1049 | 1000 | 57% | 2021-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 979 | 62% | 2020-11-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 988 | 52% | 2020-03-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2020-03-07 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2018-06-09 | | Won |
| 1143 | 1078 | 59% | 2017-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2016-11-12 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1019 | 55% | 2016-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1078 | 1000 | 61% | 2016-10-07 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1317 | 27% | 2016-10-04 | | Won |
| 891 | 1147 | 19% | 2016-06-01 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2016-02-14 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2016-02-14 | | Won |
| 1086 | 780 | 85% | | | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1052.2 vs 1042.5 has a 51.39% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).