A Quick Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (27 on the archive and 66 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 54
Defender wins (Japanese): 39
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 1202 | 24% | 2026-02-13 | Won |
| 1012 | 1204 | 25% | 2026-02-13 | Won |
| 1220 | 986 | 79% | 2025-09-30 | Won |
| 1045 | 989 | 58% | 2025-07-25 | Lost |
| 997 | 1245 | 19% | 2025-07-25 | Lost |
| 1044 | 956 | 62% | 2025-07-03 | Won |
| 1263 | 1013 | 81% | 2024-12-14 | Won |
| 1035 | 1092 | 42% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1028 | 1021 | 51% | 2024-08-24 | Lost |
| 706 | 1088 | 10% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1119 | 44% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 991 | 1126 | 31% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 932 | 1030 | 36% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1049 | 1015 | 55% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
| 1065 | 979 | 62% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 937 | 979 | 44% | 2020-03-22 | Won |
| 1040 | 1052 | 48% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1080 | 913 | 72% | 2018-06-09 | Won |
| 1143 | 1077 | 59% | 2017-09-24 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2016-11-12 | Won |
| 1046 | 1019 | 54% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1102 | 46% | 2016-10-07 | Won |
| 1140 | 1313 | 27% | 2016-10-04 | Won |
| 890 | 1130 | 20% | 2016-06-01 | Won |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2016-02-14 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2016-02-14 | Won |
| 1095 | 780 | 86% | | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1047.7 vs 1060.8 has a 48.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).