A Quick Strike
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 88 (25 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 46
Defender wins (Japanese): 42
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1257 | 1041 | 78% | 2025-09-30 | Won |
| 947 | 990 | 44% | 2025-07-25 | Lost |
| 997 | 1207 | 23% | 2025-07-25 | Lost |
| 1176 | 927 | 81% | 2025-07-03 | Won |
| 969 | 1142 | 27% | 2024-08-31 | Won |
| 1018 | 1082 | 41% | 2024-08-24 | Lost |
| 726 | 1091 | 11% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1111 | 48% | 2024-07-13 | Lost |
| 963 | 1162 | 24% | 2024-06-22 | Lost |
| 933 | 1123 | 25% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1049 | 1015 | 55% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
| 1063 | 979 | 62% | 2020-11-03 | Won |
| 983 | 978 | 51% | 2020-03-22 | Won |
| 1029 | 1029 | 50% | 2020-03-07 | Won |
| 1074 | 908 | 72% | 2018-06-09 | Won |
| 1141 | 991 | 70% | 2018-01-07 | Won |
| 1078 | 1028 | 57% | 2017-09-24 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2016-11-12 | Won |
| 1028 | 1017 | 52% | 2016-10-17 | Won |
| 1051 | 1030 | 53% | 2016-10-07 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1247 | 37% | 2016-10-04 | Won |
| 890 | 1065 | 27% | 2016-06-01 | Won |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2016-02-14 | Won |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2016-02-14 | Won |
| 1103 | 762 | 88% | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1043 vs 1045 has a 49.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).