Riding to the Rescue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (30 on the archive and 63 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 40
Defender wins (British): 52
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1264 | 1245 | 53% | 2026-06-13 | Won |
| 707 | 1088 | 10% | 2025-07-12 | Lost |
| 1188 | 1120 | 60% | 2025-07-12 | Won |
| 938 | 1188 | 19% | 2025-06-07 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1142 | 40% | 2025-01-21 | Lost |
| 915 | 1046 | 32% | 2024-05-10 | Lost |
| 996 | 1037 | 44% | 2024-01-25 | Won |
| 1172 | 1001 | 73% | 2023-01-22 | Lost |
| 891 | 880 | 52% | 2021-11-25 | Won |
| 1243 | 1140 | 64% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1084 | 1127 | 44% | 2019-01-26 | Won |
| 872 | 1045 | 27% | 2018-04-29 | Lost |
| 971 | 1167 | 24% | 2018-04-03 | Won |
| 1077 | 993 | 62% | 2017-11-03 | Won |
| 984 | 1021 | 45% | 2017-10-28 | Lost |
| 1102 | 924 | 74% | 2017-09-14 | Won |
| 1219 | 1172 | 57% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 1045 | 1045 | 50% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1030 | 46% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1030 | 46% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1087 | 44% | 2017-01-06 | Won |
| 982 | 1130 | 30% | 2016-11-12 | Lost |
| 1036 | 933 | 64% | 2016-07-23 | Won |
| 982 | 1217 | 21% | 2016-06-06 | Won |
| 1021 | 913 | 65% | 2016-06-05 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2016-05-07 | Lost |
| 1130 | 890 | 80% | 2016-03-28 | Won |
| 1028 | 1342 | 14% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 986 | 1107 | 33% | 2015-11-20 | Lost |
| 990 | 933 | 58% | 2015-11-10 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1037.4 vs 1074 has a 44.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).