Assault on Baerendorf
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (19 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 43
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1177 | 1048 | 68% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 904 | 865 | 56% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 961 | 975 | 48% | 2019-05-04 | Lost |
| 961 | 975 | 48% | 2019-05-04 | Won |
| 903 | 890 | 52% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 1108 | 1054 | 58% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1214 | 973 | 80% | 2017-09-04 | Lost |
| 1098 | 977 | 67% | 2017-05-14 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1057 | 43% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
| 1169 | 1140 | 54% | 2016-11-04 | Lost |
| 1140 | 733 | 91% | 2016-09-01 | Won |
| 1217 | 892 | 87% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
| 897 | 897 | 50% | 2016-08-06 | Won |
| 1098 | 1119 | 47% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 1086 | 918 | 72% | 2016-04-28 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2016-04-09 | Won |
| 1215 | 1220 | 49% | 2016-01-22 | Won |
| 1054 | 1143 | 37% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1150 | 41% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1066.9 vs 1000.1 has a 59.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).