Assault on Baerendorf
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (19 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 43
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1203 | 1047 | 71% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 917 | 866 | 57% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
| 961 | 888 | 60% | 2019-05-04 | Lost |
| 961 | 888 | 60% | 2019-05-04 | Won |
| 885 | 890 | 49% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
| 1108 | 1003 | 65% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1196 | 1031 | 72% | 2017-09-04 | Lost |
| 1079 | 978 | 64% | 2017-05-14 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1048 | 47% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
| 1169 | 1151 | 53% | 2016-11-04 | Lost |
| 1151 | 713 | 93% | 2016-09-01 | Won |
| 1217 | 892 | 87% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
| 897 | 897 | 50% | 2016-08-06 | Won |
| 1099 | 1113 | 48% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
| 1080 | 910 | 73% | 2016-04-28 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2016-04-09 | Won |
| 1215 | 1220 | 49% | 2016-01-22 | Won |
| 1003 | 1142 | 31% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1154 | 45% | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1066.2 vs 989.8 has a 60.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).