Assault on Baerendorf
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (15 on the archive and 48 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 27
Defender wins (German): 36
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
780 | 865 | 38% | 2020-07-09 | Won |
954 | 890 | 59% | 2019-05-04 | Lost |
954 | 890 | 59% | 2019-05-04 | Won |
977 | 888 | 63% | 2019-01-20 | Won |
1114 | 1083 | 54% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
925 | 1006 | 39% | 2017-09-04 | Lost |
989 | 975 | 52% | 2017-05-14 | Lost |
1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2017-02-04 | Won |
1284 | 889 | 91% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
898 | 895 | 50% | 2016-08-06 | Won |
1105 | 1115 | 49% | 2016-04-29 | Lost |
1108 | 917 | 75% | 2016-04-28 | Won |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2016-04-09 | Won |
1189 | 1207 | 47% | 2016-01-22 | Won |
1083 | 1142 | 42% | 2015-10-10 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1022.9 vs 983.1 has a 55.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).