The Deadly Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (14 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 22
Defender wins (Japanese): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 911 | 59% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1015 | 56% | 2025-03-14 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1028 | 57% | 2024-02-10 | Won |
| 917 | 866 | 57% | 2021-03-08 | Won |
| 1220 | 1136 | 62% | 2020-09-18 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2020-04-09 | Lost |
| 922 | 1106 | 26% | 2020-03-02 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1112 | 46% | 2018-10-05 | Won |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2018-01-21 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1092 | 65% | 2018-01-04 | Won |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2017-10-05 | Won |
| 1256 | 1250 | 51% | 2017-09-03 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1067 | 44% | 2017-05-11 | Won |
| 927 | 1218 | 16% | 2016-06-16 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1042.6 vs 1064.4 has a 46.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).