Bad Day for the Luftwaffe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (10 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 1032 | 50% | 2020-04-06 | Won |
| 892 | 909 | 48% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 978 | 1209 | 21% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1176 | 43% | 2019-09-30 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2018-02-04 | Won |
| 1060 | 1028 | 55% | 2017-01-20 | Won |
| 1189 | 1194 | 49% | 2016-12-15 | Lost |
| 1017 | 998 | 53% | 2016-08-03 | Won |
| 1104 | 1115 | 48% | 2016-04-19 | Won |
| 1090 | 1090 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1057.6 vs 1083.8 has a 46.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).