Bad Day for the Luftwaffe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (11 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1037 | 49% | 2020-04-06 | Won |
| 893 | 950 | 42% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 979 | 950 | 54% | 2020-03-27 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1178 | 44% | 2019-09-30 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-02-04 | Won |
| 1250 | 882 | 89% | 2017-01-22 | Won |
| 1100 | 1021 | 61% | 2017-01-20 | Won |
| 1137 | 1101 | 55% | 2016-12-15 | Lost |
| 1103 | 903 | 76% | 2016-08-03 | Won |
| 1114 | 1181 | 40% | 2016-04-19 | Won |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1084.3 vs 1034.1 has a 57.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).