Bad Day for the Luftwaffe
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2020-04-06 | | Won |
| 893 | 966 | 40% | 2020-03-27 | | Lost |
| 988 | 1000 | 48% | 2020-03-27 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1178 | 43% | 2019-09-30 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-02-04 | | Won |
| 1242 | 876 | 89% | 2017-01-22 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1049 | 64% | 2017-01-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1097 | 36% | 2016-12-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2016-08-03 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1156 | 36% | 2016-04-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1049.6 vs 1041.5 has a 51.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).