Killer Carp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (11 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Polish): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 881 | 1004 | 33% | 2024-04-06 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1270 | 21% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 863 | 1002 | 31% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1089 | 39% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1153 | 37% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 864 | 875 | 48% | 2020-06-04 | Won |
| 1186 | 805 | 90% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1178 | 949 | 79% | 2017-07-02 | Won |
| 1018 | 1050 | 45% | 2016-08-05 | Lost |
| 982 | 1058 | 39% | 2016-06-21 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1011.3 vs 1024.5 has a 48.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).