Killer Carp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (10 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Polish): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 911 | 1006 | 37% | 2024-04-06 | Lost |
| 990 | 1259 | 18% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 864 | 1072 | 23% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1111 | 45% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 1061 | 1009 | 57% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 863 | 955 | 37% | 2020-06-04 | Won |
| 1133 | 937 | 76% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1140 | 1036 | 65% | 2017-07-02 | Won |
| 1025 | 1037 | 48% | 2016-08-05 | Lost |
| 981 | 1056 | 39% | 2016-06-21 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1004.5 vs 1047.8 has a 43.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).