Killer Carp
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (11 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 9
Defender wins (Polish): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Polish): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 880 | 1004 | 33% | 2024-04-06 | Lost |
| 986 | 1236 | 19% | 2024-01-02 | Won |
| 863 | 1029 | 28% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 2021-12-11 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1159 | 32% | 2020-12-31 | Won |
| 999 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-08-11 | Lost |
| 863 | 884 | 47% | 2020-06-04 | Won |
| 1219 | 1017 | 76% | 2019-01-13 | Won |
| 1123 | 973 | 70% | 2017-07-02 | Won |
| 1018 | 1040 | 47% | 2016-08-05 | Lost |
| 982 | 1060 | 39% | 2016-06-21 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1013.9 vs 1045.1 has a 45.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).