Initial Skirmish
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (19 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (French): 29
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1115 | 1115 | 50% | 2024-11-14 | Won |
| 1055 | 1091 | 45% | 2024-11-14 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1310 | 21% | 2024-07-02 | Lost |
| 718 | 1061 | 12% | 2023-11-23 | Lost |
| 1130 | 967 | 72% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
| 1133 | 937 | 76% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 977 | 1034 | 42% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
| 1138 | 1084 | 58% | 2022-03-25 | Won |
| 937 | 1190 | 19% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
| 1015 | 1065 | 43% | 2021-01-30 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1037 | 55% | 2021-01-26 | Won |
| 1130 | 1108 | 53% | 2017-11-02 | Won |
| 1043 | 1130 | 38% | 2017-11-01 | Lost |
| 992 | 1310 | 14% | 2016-12-27 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1214 | 26% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 1084 | 951 | 68% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 1078 | 982 | 63% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
| 1275 | 1084 | 75% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
| 1260 | 1125 | 69% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1066.8 vs 1094.5 has a 46.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).