Initial Skirmish
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 53 (16 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (French): 24
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
802 | 1192 | 10% | 2023-11-23 | Lost |
1095 | 948 | 70% | 2023-11-05 | Lost |
916 | 1058 | 31% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
1058 | 1034 | 53% | 2023-09-30 | Won |
1070 | 1087 | 48% | 2022-03-25 | Won |
1058 | 1144 | 38% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
1014 | 1030 | 48% | 2021-01-30 | Lost |
1083 | 1108 | 46% | 2021-01-26 | Won |
1095 | 1085 | 51% | 2017-11-02 | Won |
1043 | 1095 | 43% | 2017-11-01 | Lost |
992 | 1300 | 15% | 2016-12-27 | Lost |
1051 | 1284 | 21% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
1077 | 1008 | 60% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
1087 | 967 | 67% | 2016-10-06 | Won |
1273 | 1087 | 74% | 2016-10-01 | Won |
1317 | 1126 | 75% | 2016-09-03 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1064.4 vs 1097.1 has a 45.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).