Gavin's Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (9 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / British): 13
Defender wins (German): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 940 | 966 | 46% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
| 893 | 1121 | 21% | 2024-03-31 | Lost |
| 896 | 939 | 44% | 2023-03-15 | Won |
| 881 | 1025 | 30% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 1025 | 986 | 56% | 2019-10-26 | Won |
| 1094 | 1099 | 49% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1219 | 869 | 88% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1219 | 869 | 88% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1008 | 1223 | 22% | 2017-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1019.4 vs 1010.8 has a 51.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).