Gavin's Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (9 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / British): 13
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 940 | 993 | 42% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
| 876 | 1125 | 19% | 2024-03-31 | Lost |
| 906 | 939 | 45% | 2023-03-15 | Won |
| 881 | 991 | 35% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 973 | 1017 | 44% | 2019-10-26 | Won |
| 1094 | 1111 | 48% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1199 | 869 | 87% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1199 | 869 | 87% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1008 | 1223 | 22% | 2017-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1008.4 vs 1015.2 has a 49.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).