Gavin's Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (9 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / British): 13
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 950 | 51% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
| 877 | 1119 | 20% | 2024-03-31 | Lost |
| 909 | 939 | 46% | 2023-03-15 | Won |
| 882 | 988 | 35% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 1014 | 972 | 56% | 2019-10-26 | Won |
| 1096 | 1117 | 47% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1191 | 893 | 85% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1191 | 893 | 85% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1013.6 vs 1010.8 has a 50.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).