Gavin's Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16 (9 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / British): 13
Defender wins (German): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 953 | 944 | 51% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
| 955 | 1031 | 39% | 2024-03-31 | Lost |
| 909 | 941 | 45% | 2023-03-15 | Won |
| 881 | 981 | 36% | 2020-10-22 | Won |
| 1059 | 944 | 66% | 2019-10-26 | Won |
| 1094 | 1099 | 49% | 2018-08-03 | Won |
| 1109 | 880 | 79% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1109 | 880 | 79% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1007 | 1223 | 22% | 2017-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1008.4 vs 991.4 has a 52.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).