De Zwarte Duivels
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 38 (11 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Dutch): 22
Defender wins (German): 16
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
946 | 922 | 53% | 2024-04-13 | Lost |
1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
947 | 985 | 45% | 2023-10-29 | Won |
791 | 1162 | 11% | 2020-06-08 | Won |
1138 | 1199 | 41% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
1056 | 1217 | 28% | 2018-10-11 | Lost |
1121 | 1227 | 35% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
938 | 1173 | 21% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
985 | 1085 | 36% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
985 | 1085 | 36% | 2017-06-21 | Won |
947 | 985 | 45% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 986.7 vs 1094.5 has a 34.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).