De Zwarte Duivels
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (13 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Dutch): 25
Defender wins (German): 19
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 983 | 920 | 59% | 2024-04-13 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1000 | 64% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 907 | 989 | 38% | 2023-10-29 | Won |
| 1070 | 1040 | 54% | 2023-08-26 | Won |
| 963 | 1091 | 32% | 2020-06-08 | Won |
| 1130 | 1102 | 54% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 1024 | 1192 | 28% | 2018-10-11 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1070 | 46% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1121 | 1272 | 30% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 938 | 1285 | 12% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
| 989 | 1133 | 30% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 989 | 1133 | 30% | 2017-06-21 | Won |
| 907 | 989 | 38% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1012.5 vs 1093.5 has a 38.55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).