De Zwarte Duivels
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 44 (13 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Dutch): 25
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1122 | 38% | 2024-12-25 | Won |
| 973 | 1017 | 44% | 2024-04-14 | Lost |
| 1055 | 986 | 60% | 2024-03-01 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1128 | 41% | 2023-08-26 | Won |
| 994 | 1141 | 30% | 2020-06-08 | Won |
| 1061 | 1104 | 44% | 2020-02-20 | Won |
| 910 | 1199 | 16% | 2018-10-11 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1067 | 59% | 2018-07-28 | Won |
| 1121 | 1310 | 25% | 2018-05-04 | Lost |
| 938 | 1264 | 13% | 2017-08-12 | Lost |
| 748 | 1132 | 10% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 748 | 1132 | 10% | 2017-06-21 | Won |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2017-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 997.6 vs 1103.8 has a 35.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).