A Hard Rain's Gona Fall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 10
Defender wins (Japanese): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1187 | 1208 | 47% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 1102 | 999 | 64% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1192 | 1109 | 62% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1011 | 938 | 60% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2019-03-07 | Lost |
| 997 | 1152 | 29% | 2018-09-28 | Lost |
| 1211 | 823 | 90% | 2018-04-15 | Won |
| 1137 | 1102 | 55% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1219 | 939 | 83% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1118.2 vs 1035.7 has a 61.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).