A Hard Rain's Gona Fall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (8 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 15
Defender wins (Japanese): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1273 | 1260 | 52% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1001 | 66% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 937 | 1190 | 19% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1028 | 993 | 55% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1008 | 1084 | 39% | 2019-03-07 | Lost |
| 1128 | 869 | 82% | 2018-04-15 | Won |
| 1184 | 1115 | 60% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1214 | 931 | 84% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1110.9 vs 1055.4 has a 57.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).