A Hard Rain's Gona Fall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (9 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 10
Defender wins (Japanese): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1253 | 1220 | 55% | 2024-03-22 | Lost |
| 1052 | 999 | 58% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1099 | 1131 | 45% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 1036 | 1015 | 53% | 2019-06-22 | Won |
| 959 | 974 | 48% | 2019-03-07 | Lost |
| 964 | 1141 | 27% | 2018-09-28 | Lost |
| 1063 | 826 | 80% | 2018-04-15 | Won |
| 1136 | 1052 | 62% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
| 1218 | 930 | 84% | 2018-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1086.7 vs 1032 has a 57.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).