Jackpot Jones
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (44 on the archive and 88 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 63
Defender wins (American): 69
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 843 | 965 | 33% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1068 | 930 | 69% | 2024-07-28 | Lost |
| 856 | 1068 | 23% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2023-09-27 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1022 | 59% | 2022-12-27 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1419 | 12% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1138 | 50% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1027 | 48% | 2022-05-30 | Won |
| 1028 | 1012 | 52% | 2022-02-02 | Won |
| 1163 | 1045 | 66% | 2021-01-13 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1151 | 40% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1135 | 992 | 69% | 2020-06-28 | Won |
| 1137 | 1071 | 59% | 2020-06-27 | Won |
| 1011 | 1084 | 40% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1020 | 48% | 2020-06-27 | Won |
| 1004 | 1013 | 49% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 919 | 1025 | 35% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1073 | 50% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1075 | 923 | 71% | 2020-05-17 | Won |
| 1013 | 1014 | 50% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
| 1098 | 1103 | 49% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1233 | 42% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 1196 | 991 | 76% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 950 | 1020 | 40% | 2019-11-18 | Lost |
| 919 | 1015 | 37% | 2019-10-29 | Lost |
| 991 | 1078 | 38% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1073 | 59% | 2019-08-02 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1009 | 57% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 987 | 1029 | 44% | 2019-05-19 | Lost |
| 969 | 1045 | 39% | 2019-05-19 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1191 | 54% | 2019-04-17 | Lost |
| 1196 | 1217 | 47% | 2019-04-17 | Won |
| 1047 | 1007 | 56% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1010 | 1065 | 42% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1088 | 42% | 2019-03-02 | Won |
| 1073 | 876 | 76% | 2019-01-22 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1009 | 57% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1206 | 979 | 79% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1138 | 939 | 76% | 2018-12-08 | Won |
| 1003 | 1040 | 45% | 2018-12-01 | Won |
| 930 | 1123 | 25% | 2018-11-13 | Lost |
| 1154 | 853 | 85% | 2018-11-05 | Won |
| 1017 | 1035 | 47% | 2018-09-11 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1056.1 vs 1049.2 has a 50.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).