Jackpot Jones
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 130 (43 on the archive and 87 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 58
Defender wins (American): 72
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 864 | 934 | 40% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1046 | 938 | 65% | 2024-07-28 | Lost |
| 861 | 1046 | 26% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1022 | 59% | 2022-12-27 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1151 | 45% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1412 | 12% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2022-05-30 | Won |
| 1032 | 996 | 55% | 2022-02-02 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2021-01-13 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1149 | 37% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1116 | 991 | 67% | 2020-06-28 | Won |
| 993 | 1039 | 43% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1004 | 970 | 55% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1008 | 897 | 65% | 2020-06-27 | Won |
| 1128 | 1128 | 50% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1054 | 62% | 2020-06-27 | Won |
| 995 | 1073 | 39% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1075 | 925 | 70% | 2020-05-17 | Won |
| 970 | 1009 | 44% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
| 1091 | 1106 | 48% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1225 | 36% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 1187 | 1027 | 72% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 949 | 1016 | 40% | 2019-11-18 | Lost |
| 993 | 899 | 63% | 2019-10-29 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1058 | 42% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1125 | 52% | 2019-08-02 | Lost |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 1006 | 1080 | 40% | 2019-05-19 | Lost |
| 948 | 1050 | 36% | 2019-05-19 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1162 | 58% | 2019-04-17 | Lost |
| 1241 | 1219 | 53% | 2019-04-17 | Won |
| 1019 | 1003 | 52% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1041 | 1079 | 45% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1070 | 51% | 2019-03-02 | Won |
| 1125 | 878 | 81% | 2019-01-22 | Lost |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1137 | 939 | 76% | 2018-12-08 | Won |
| 905 | 1055 | 30% | 2018-12-01 | Won |
| 910 | 1199 | 16% | 2018-11-13 | Lost |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2018-11-05 | Won |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2018-09-11 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1050.1 vs 1041.4 has a 51.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).