Jackpot Jones
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 132 (44 on the archive and 88 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 63
Defender wins (American): 69
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 845 | 967 | 33% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1007 | 930 | 61% | 2024-07-28 | Lost |
| 857 | 1007 | 30% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2023-09-27 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1021 | 59% | 2022-12-27 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1423 | 13% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1157 | 47% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 986 | 1057 | 40% | 2022-05-30 | Won |
| 1012 | 1028 | 48% | 2022-02-02 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2021-01-13 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1152 | 42% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1135 | 972 | 72% | 2020-06-28 | Won |
| 1136 | 1071 | 59% | 2020-06-27 | Won |
| 1026 | 1105 | 39% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1008 | 959 | 57% | 2020-06-27 | Won |
| 1004 | 983 | 53% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 928 | 1012 | 38% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1079 | 922 | 71% | 2020-05-17 | Won |
| 983 | 1014 | 46% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
| 1099 | 1102 | 50% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1030 | 981 | 57% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1234 | 39% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 1197 | 992 | 76% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 950 | 1019 | 40% | 2019-11-18 | Lost |
| 928 | 1103 | 27% | 2019-10-29 | Lost |
| 992 | 1098 | 35% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1075 | 59% | 2019-08-02 | Lost |
| 1054 | 995 | 58% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 979 | 1024 | 44% | 2019-05-19 | Lost |
| 969 | 1046 | 39% | 2019-05-19 | Lost |
| 1217 | 1191 | 54% | 2019-04-17 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1217 | 44% | 2019-04-17 | Won |
| 1037 | 1008 | 54% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1045 | 1143 | 36% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1088 | 41% | 2019-03-02 | Won |
| 1075 | 876 | 76% | 2019-01-22 | Lost |
| 1054 | 995 | 58% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1260 | 980 | 83% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1138 | 939 | 76% | 2018-12-08 | Won |
| 1003 | 1049 | 43% | 2018-12-01 | Won |
| 975 | 1079 | 35% | 2018-11-13 | Lost |
| 1116 | 851 | 82% | 2018-11-05 | Won |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2018-09-11 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1056 vs 1050.2 has a 50.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).