Jackpot Jones
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 135 (45 on the archive and 90 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 63
Defender wins (American): 72
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 845 | 967 | 33% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 1032 | 930 | 64% | 2024-07-28 | Lost |
| 849 | 1032 | 26% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 1172 | 1172 | 50% | 2023-09-27 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1038 | 49% | 2022-12-27 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1430 | 12% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1136 | 1158 | 47% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1037 | 46% | 2022-05-30 | Won |
| 974 | 1028 | 42% | 2022-02-02 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2021-01-13 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1152 | 47% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1136 | 972 | 72% | 2020-06-28 | Won |
| 1136 | 1068 | 60% | 2020-06-27 | Won |
| 1026 | 1085 | 42% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1007 | 996 | 52% | 2020-06-27 | Won |
| 1004 | 999 | 51% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 884 | 1039 | 29% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1080 | 922 | 71% | 2020-05-17 | Won |
| 999 | 1014 | 48% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
| 1099 | 1102 | 50% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1234 | 40% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 1197 | 992 | 76% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 950 | 1019 | 40% | 2019-11-18 | Lost |
| 884 | 1102 | 22% | 2019-10-29 | Lost |
| 992 | 1134 | 31% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1040 | 63% | 2019-08-02 | Lost |
| 1343 | 1027 | 86% | 2019-06-21 | Lost |
| 1146 | 933 | 77% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 979 | 983 | 49% | 2019-05-19 | Lost |
| 998 | 1046 | 43% | 2019-05-19 | Lost |
| 1218 | 1195 | 53% | 2019-04-17 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1218 | 42% | 2019-04-17 | Won |
| 975 | 1007 | 45% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1019 | 1144 | 33% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
| 983 | 1088 | 35% | 2019-03-02 | Won |
| 1040 | 876 | 72% | 2019-01-22 | Lost |
| 1146 | 933 | 77% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1167 | 938 | 79% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1138 | 939 | 76% | 2018-12-08 | Won |
| 1003 | 1046 | 44% | 2018-12-01 | Won |
| 992 | 1064 | 40% | 2018-11-13 | Lost |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2018-11-05 | Won |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2018-09-11 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1058.3 vs 1045.3 has a 51.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).