Jackpot Jones
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 127 (41 on the archive and 86 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 57
Defender wins (American): 70
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 844 | 945 | 36% | 2025-03-08 | Lost |
| 965 | 934 | 54% | 2024-07-28 | Lost |
| 883 | 965 | 38% | 2024-02-21 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1022 | 59% | 2022-12-27 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1400 | 14% | 2022-06-11 | Lost |
| 992 | 1051 | 42% | 2022-05-30 | Won |
| 1020 | 1012 | 51% | 2022-02-02 | Won |
| 1163 | 1044 | 66% | 2021-01-13 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1150 | 32% | 2020-10-10 | Lost |
| 1004 | 939 | 59% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 964 | 1021 | 42% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1007 | 958 | 57% | 2020-06-27 | Won |
| 1016 | 1020 | 49% | 2020-06-27 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1041 | 63% | 2020-06-27 | Won |
| 1073 | 925 | 70% | 2020-05-17 | Won |
| 939 | 1009 | 40% | 2020-04-21 | Won |
| 1091 | 1125 | 45% | 2020-04-16 | Lost |
| 1031 | 982 | 57% | 2020-04-06 | Lost |
| 1187 | 1009 | 74% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 1161 | 1225 | 41% | 2020-01-26 | Won |
| 949 | 1032 | 38% | 2019-11-18 | Lost |
| 964 | 899 | 59% | 2019-10-29 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1023 | 47% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1081 | 58% | 2019-08-02 | Lost |
| 1024 | 961 | 59% | 2019-05-26 | Won |
| 1021 | 1070 | 43% | 2019-05-19 | Lost |
| 868 | 1008 | 31% | 2019-05-19 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1219 | 41% | 2019-04-17 | Won |
| 1219 | 1160 | 58% | 2019-04-17 | Lost |
| 978 | 1003 | 46% | 2019-03-29 | Won |
| 1042 | 1100 | 42% | 2019-03-10 | Lost |
| 1070 | 1035 | 55% | 2019-03-02 | Won |
| 1081 | 878 | 76% | 2019-01-22 | Lost |
| 1024 | 961 | 59% | 2019-01-01 | Won |
| 1151 | 1072 | 61% | 2018-12-10 | Lost |
| 1137 | 939 | 76% | 2018-12-08 | Won |
| 905 | 1063 | 29% | 2018-12-01 | Won |
| 935 | 1168 | 21% | 2018-11-13 | Lost |
| 1169 | 853 | 86% | 2018-11-05 | Won |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2018-09-11 | Lost |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1038.7 vs 1034.5 has a 50.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).