Winter's Fury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (9 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 9
Defender wins (American): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2024-12-23 | Won |
| 1128 | 1038 | 63% | 2024-03-21 | Lost |
| 922 | 1141 | 22% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
| 906 | 1041 | 31% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 906 | 1041 | 31% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1029 | 75% | 2020-09-30 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2019-04-09 | Lost |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2019-04-09 | Lost |
| 1189 | 748 | 93% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1073.1 vs 1009.6 has a 59.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).