Winter's Fury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (9 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 8
Defender wins (American): 10
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1071 | 946 | 67% | 2024-12-23 | Won |
| 1047 | 1033 | 52% | 2024-03-21 | Lost |
| 926 | 1182 | 19% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
| 909 | 1058 | 30% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 909 | 1058 | 30% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 1216 | 986 | 79% | 2020-09-30 | Won |
| 1216 | 981 | 79% | 2019-04-09 | Lost |
| 1216 | 981 | 79% | 2019-04-09 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1011 | 73% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1076.8 vs 1026.2 has a 57.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).