Winter's Fury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (11 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 10
Defender wins (American): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1068 | 970 | 64% | 2024-12-23 | Won |
| 1041 | 1057 | 48% | 2024-03-21 | Lost |
| 900 | 1174 | 17% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1012 | 52% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1012 | 52% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 1198 | 958 | 80% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 1217 | 1018 | 76% | 2020-09-30 | Won |
| 1217 | 981 | 80% | 2019-04-09 | Lost |
| 1217 | 981 | 80% | 2019-04-09 | Lost |
| 1263 | 989 | 83% | 2019-03-17 | Won |
| 1243 | 980 | 82% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1128.7 vs 1012 has a 66.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).