Winter's Fury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (10 on the archive and 11 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 7
Defender wins (American): 13
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2024-12-23 | Won |
| 1109 | 1056 | 58% | 2024-03-21 | Lost |
| 895 | 1137 | 20% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
| 958 | 1010 | 43% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 958 | 1010 | 43% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
| 1186 | 959 | 79% | 2020-11-06 | Won |
| 1217 | 1047 | 73% | 2020-09-30 | Won |
| 1217 | 982 | 79% | 2019-04-09 | Lost |
| 1217 | 982 | 79% | 2019-04-09 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1042 | 74% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1101.3 vs 1026.6 has a 60.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).