Winter's Fury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 4
Defender wins (American): 6
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 1070 | 37% | 2024-12-23 | D | Won |
| 1037 | 1057 | 47% | 2024-03-21 | | Lost |
| 901 | 1252 | 12% | 2021-04-23 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1078 | 34% | 2020-11-06 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1078 | 34% | 2020-11-06 | | Lost |
| 1159 | 958 | 76% | 2020-11-06 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2020-09-30 | | Won |
| 1218 | 983 | 79% | 2019-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 983 | 79% | 2019-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1263 | 990 | 83% | 2019-03-17 | | Won |
| 1201 | 1000 | 76% | 2019-02-18 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1101.9 vs 1042.5 has a 58.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).