Winter's Fury
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (7 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Italian): 5
Defender wins (American): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
949 | 1197 | 19% | 2021-04-23 | Lost |
1013 | 1083 | 40% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
1013 | 1083 | 40% | 2020-11-06 | Lost |
1284 | 1016 | 82% | 2020-09-30 | Won |
1284 | 980 | 85% | 2019-04-09 | Lost |
1284 | 980 | 85% | 2019-04-09 | Lost |
904 | 1017 | 34% | 2019-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1104.4 vs 1050.9 has a 57.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).