Blood on the Tracks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (17 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 41
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1059 | 1008 | 57% | 2025-11-09 | Lost |
| 1204 | 952 | 81% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 1015 | 904 | 65% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 980 | 1229 | 19% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1074 | 945 | 68% | 2022-02-03 | Lost |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2021-04-13 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-16 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1102 | 55% | 2020-09-03 | Lost |
| 1117 | 969 | 70% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
| 918 | 1075 | 29% | 2020-03-26 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1139 | 37% | 2019-06-01 | Lost |
| 1116 | 970 | 70% | 2019-03-20 | Won |
| 1123 | 1024 | 64% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1103 | 910 | 75% | 2019-01-23 | Lost |
| 756 | 827 | 40% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1276 | 19% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1060.4 vs 1031.7 has a 54.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).