Blood on the Tracks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 48 (17 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 41
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1059 | 1038 | 53% | 2025-11-09 | Lost |
| 1076 | 966 | 65% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 1015 | 928 | 62% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 983 | 1175 | 25% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2022-02-03 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1010 | 53% | 2021-04-13 | Lost |
| 1177 | 1164 | 52% | 2021-02-16 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1102 | 43% | 2020-09-03 | Lost |
| 1127 | 959 | 72% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
| 914 | 1094 | 26% | 2020-03-26 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1139 | 37% | 2019-06-01 | Lost |
| 1123 | 969 | 71% | 2019-03-20 | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1102 | 965 | 69% | 2019-01-23 | Lost |
| 698 | 817 | 34% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 951 | 1276 | 13% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1032.4 vs 1049 has a 47.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).