Blood on the Tracks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (16 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1099 | 1019 | 61% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 1011 | 881 | 68% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 932 | 1181 | 19% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1059 | 944 | 66% | 2022-02-03 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1030 | 47% | 2021-04-13 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1163 | 52% | 2021-02-16 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1126 | 48% | 2020-09-03 | Lost |
| 1099 | 984 | 66% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
| 955 | 1031 | 39% | 2020-03-26 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1142 | 37% | 2019-06-01 | Lost |
| 1140 | 968 | 73% | 2019-03-20 | Won |
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1045 | 58% | 2019-02-15 | Lost |
| 898 | 944 | 43% | 2019-01-23 | Lost |
| 822 | 825 | 50% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 909 | 1196 | 16% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1029.1 vs 1030.9 has a 49.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).