Blood on the Tracks
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (12 on the archive and 29 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 6
Defender wins (Russian): 35
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1093 | 780 | 86% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
983 | 925 | 58% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
1027 | 987 | 56% | 2022-02-03 | Lost |
993 | 1026 | 45% | 2021-04-13 | Lost |
1178 | 1178 | 50% | 2021-02-16 | Lost |
1090 | 1175 | 38% | 2020-09-03 | Lost |
1095 | 958 | 69% | 2020-04-15 | Won |
917 | 1108 | 25% | 2020-03-26 | Lost |
1046 | 1131 | 38% | 2019-06-01 | Lost |
1198 | 985 | 77% | 2019-03-20 | Won |
896 | 959 | 41% | 2019-01-23 | Lost |
1013 | 1150 | 31% | 2019-01-18 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1044.1 vs 1030.2 has a 52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).